Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.0% | 36.0% | -3.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +5 (82-77). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Ellingson * | 45 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 | - |
| D.J. Wilkins * | 43 | 3-13 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Tremell Murphy * | 36 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Nick McGlynn * | 34 | 6-17 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Nick Norton * | 20 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Garrett Sturtz | 27 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Noah Thomas | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Murphy | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Liam Robbins | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Antonio Pilipovic | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.J. Riley * | 44 | 6-16 | 0-5 | 13-17 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| John Hall * | 43 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Marty Hill * | 39 | 9-16 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Shea Feehan * | 29 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Evan Kuhlman * | 21 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Shamar Givance | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Dainius Chatkevicius | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Jawaun Newton | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Noah Frederking | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jared Chestnut | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter