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Delaware State

Also known as: Delaware State Hornets
Program History

2009 Team Stats (3 games)

52.3
PPG
84.3
Opp
-32.0
Margin
34.5%
FG%
30.0%
3P%
76.2%
FT%
29.3
RPG
11.0
APG
15.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
55.8
Adj PPG
66.2
Adj Opp PPG
#309
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2008-2009
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 714 (#310) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 778 (#313) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +107 elo More โ†’ 926 (#268) HCA +107 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -11.1 (#308) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -10.9 (#307) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.164 (#316) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -19.8 More โ†’ 0.093 (#321) AdjNet -19.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -19.9 More โ†’ 0.090 (#321) AdjNet -19.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 55.8 | AdjD 66.2 More โ†’ 0.280 (#309) AdjO 55.8 | AdjD 66.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 58.1 | AdjD 63.9 More โ†’ 0.371 (#291) AdjO 58.1 | AdjD 63.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.208 (#314) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.222 (#314) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 141 | GP 30 More โ†’ 739 (#323) RD 141 | GP 30

2009 Schedule & Results

2009 Roster

No roster data available for this season.