Model Predictions
| Model | Delaware State Hornets | Morgan State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.1% | 93.9% | +18.9 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.1% | 92.9% | +14.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morgan State Bears +14 (64-50). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Delaware State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Welcher | 35 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | - |
| F. Sandidge | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Donald Johnson | 33 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Fred Bouie | 29 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Jared Grady | 22 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Greg Smith | 18 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Neal | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Terrence Parkes | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| K. Douse | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Tramaine Johnson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mike Foster | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kately | 37 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Reggie Holmes | 36 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 4-7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| R. Barnes | 34 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Bolden | 27 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Kevin Thompson | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| A. Ali | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| R. Stokes | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Sean Thomas | 7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Troy Smith | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Desmond Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rico Myles | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter