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2008-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Delaware State Hornets Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 1.2% 98.8% -
Bradley-Terry 3.2% 96.8% -
Margin 0.6% 99.4% +28.0 (8.0 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Dayton Flyers +20 (62-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Delaware State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Johnson 38 4-7 3-5 0-0 4 0 2 1 2 11 9 -
A. Dubois 37 4-11 0-0 1-1 8 1 0 4 3 9 8 -
F. Sandidge 33 2-9 0-1 2-4 7 1 1 1 4 6 3 -
F. Bouie 31 2-6 1-5 2-2 4 0 0 0 3 7 2 -
M. Neal 27 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 1 5 4 4 -
T. Welcher 19 1-3 1-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 5 3 -
T. Parkes 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Douse 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
D. David 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Wilson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Johnson 24 1-5 1-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 3 2 -
C. Wright 24 7-14 0-1 4-6 7 1 3 1 2 18 14 -
K. Huelsman 23 1-3 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 0 1 4 7 -
L. Warren 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 4 3 0 1 4 10 -
R. Lowery 16 3-8 2-5 1-2 1 3 4 0 1 9 8 -
L. Fabrizius 15 1-8 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 3 -2 -
C. Little 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 4 1 -
S. Thomas 14 1-4 0-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 4 4 -
M. Perry 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 3 3 -
C. Johnson 13 3-6 2-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 8 7 -
D. Searcy 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
P. Williams 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
B. McEldowney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Hendrick 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Fox 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter