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Colorado State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Colorado State Rams, Colorado State
Program History
Coach: Niko Medved

2019 Team Stats (5 games)

67.8
PPG
87.4
Opp
-19.6
Margin
47.8%
FG%
36.9%
3P%
63.9%
FT%
28.8
RPG
14.8
APG
15.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.3
Adj PPG
72.8
Adj Opp PPG
#169
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More → Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 884 (#257) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More → 919 (#296) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -0.4 (#166) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More → -0.8 (#178) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.442 (#201) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.9 More → 0.525 (#157) AdjNet +0.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.9 More → 0.526 (#157) AdjNet +0.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 72.8 More → 0.489 (#169) AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 72.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 71.2 More → 0.492 (#179) AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 71.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.423 (#213) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.424 (#217) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 137 | GP 31 More → 863 (#271) RD 137 | GP 31

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-07 vs Colorado Christian Cougars W 100 - 66
2018-11-10 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 92 - 67
2018-11-14 vs Montana State Bobcats W 81 - 77
2018-11-19 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 73 - 91
2018-11-20 vs Florida Gulf Coast Eagles W 82 - 74
2018-11-21 @ South Dakota State Jackrabbits L 65 - 78
2018-11-27 vs Southern Illinois Salukis L 67 - 82
2018-12-01 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 80 - 86
2018-12-05 vs Arkansas Razorbacks L 74 - 98
2018-12-08 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 71 - 65
2018-12-16 vs South Dakota Coyotes L 63 - 68
2018-12-22 @ Long Beach State Beach L 61 - 64
2018-12-30 vs New Mexico State Aggies L 68 - 88
2019-01-02 @ UNLV Rebels L 76 - 78
2019-01-05 @ Fresno State Bulldogs L 67 - 78
2019-01-08 vs Air Force Falcons W 87 - 64
2019-01-12 vs New Mexico Lobos W 91 - 76
2019-01-19 @ Utah State Aggies L 72 - 87
2019-01-23 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 60 - 100
2019-01-26 vs Fresno State Bulldogs W 74 - 65
2019-01-29 vs Boise State Broncos L 68 - 70
2019-02-02 @ Air Force Falcons W 85 - 53
2019-02-06 vs Nevada Wolf Pack L 82 - 98
2019-02-09 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 66 - 74
2019-02-12 vs San Diego State Aztecs L 60 - 71
2019-02-20 @ San José State Spartans W 91 - 70
2019-02-23 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 83 - 48
2019-02-27 @ Boise State Broncos W 76 - 62
2019-03-02 @ New Mexico Lobos L 65 - 77
2019-03-05 vs Utah State Aggies L 96 - 100
2019-03-09 vs UNLV Rebels L 60 - 65
2019-03-13 @ Boise State Broncos L 57 - 66

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nico Carvacho Nico Carvacho C 26 31.2 16.1 12.7 2.3 0.5 0.7 2.1 4.2 26.0 25 21 1.2 1.7 52.8 0.0 46.2 3.15 167.4 52.8
J.D. Paige J.D. Paige G 25 33.1 14.2 3.5 3.1 1.2 0.2 1.7 3.9 16.6 -21 20 -1.1 -1.4 49.5 47.7 79.2 0.14 165.5 60.3
Anthony Masinton-Bonner Anthony Masinton-Bonner G 20 25.2 10.9 2.4 1.3 0.8 0.1 1.4 3.1 11.0 21 17 1.2 2.0 53.2 52.8 83.3 -0.71 162.8 68.5
Adam Thistlewood Adam Thistlewood F 26 29.3 9.3 3.0 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.9 2.4 10.7 -13 21 -0.6 -1.0 36.5 30.8 84.6 -0.16 176.8 46.0
Kendle Moore Kendle Moore - 26 29.0 9.0 2.4 2.7 1.4 0.1 1.8 2.7 11.2 -33 21 -1.6 -2.3 53.6 41.9 82.4 -2.03 153.6 63.0
Kris Martin Kris Martin G 22 29.4 8.5 3.5 3.0 0.7 0.5 2.0 3.0 11.0 -67 17 -3.9 -6.0 44.8 34.3 50.0 -2.5 121.9 53.7
Lorenzo Jenkins Lorenzo Jenkins F 8 18.5 7.1 2.5 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.9 4.2 6.2 -9 10 -0.9 -2.1 35.3 37.5 100.0 -3.82 81.7 44.1
Hyron Edwards Hyron Edwards G 18 21.0 6.6 2.8 2.7 1.3 0.1 1.9 2.4 9.2 41 11 3.7 7.0 25.6 16.7 70.0 2.77 113.9 27.9
Logan Ryan Logan Ryan F 22 7.9 2.6 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 4.2 -15 16 -0.9 -5.0 70.0 0 0 -2.56 285.0 70.0
Robbie Berwick Robbie Berwick G 12 7.8 1.4 0.9 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.7 0.7 2.3 25 9 2.8 12.2 12.5 0.0 0 -0.19 106.2 12.5
Zo Tyson Zo Tyson F 11 4.9 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.5 2.0 -18 12 -1.5 -12.1 60.0 0 55.6 -2.17 61.4 60.0
Sam Bannec Sam Bannec G 8 2.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0 2 6 0.3 7.0 100.0 100.0 0 -0.85 300.0 150.0
Jack Schoemann Jack Schoemann F 8 2.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 -0.1 9 6 1.5 22.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.3 66.7 0.0
Juan Sabino Juan Sabino G 2 2.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG