Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | -2.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -11 (60-71). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Watson * | 34 | 8-14 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Jeremy Hemsley * | 32 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Jalen McDaniels * | 31 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Matt Mitchell * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Nathan Mensah * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Aguek Arop | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Nolan Narain | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Adam Seiko | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Joel Mensah | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Carvacho * | 35 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| J.D. Paige * | 33 | 6-13 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Adam Thistlewood * | 33 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Kris Martin * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Kendle Moore * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Masinton-Bonner | 25 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Hyron Edwards | 25 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Logan Ryan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter