Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.6% | 26.4% | -5.6 | ✗ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +9 (74-65). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deshon Taylor * | 40 | 7-15 | 5-9 | 5-7 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Braxton Huggins * | 37 | 5-18 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Sam Bittner * | 33 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nate Grimes * | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| New Williams * | 27 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Johnny McWilliams | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Lazaro Rojas | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Aguir Agau | 8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Carvacho * | 37 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | - |
| J.D. Paige * | 35 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Kris Martin * | 34 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-8 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Adam Thistlewood * | 26 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kendle Moore * | 25 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Hyron Edwards | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Masinton-Bonner | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Logan Ryan | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter