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Colorado State

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Colorado State Rams, Colorado State
Program History
Coach: Larry Eustachy

2015 Team Stats (6 games)

61.8
PPG
59.5
Opp
+2.3
Margin
38.7%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
71.4%
FT%
34.2
RPG
12.2
APG
9.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.0
Adj PPG
64.5
Adj Opp PPG
#65
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1151 (#73) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1227 (#29) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More → 1089 (#57) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +7.8 (#68) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +5.8 (#83) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.779 (#35) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.5 More → 0.809 (#68) AdjNet +12.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.7 More → 0.814 (#66) AdjNet +12.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 64.5 More → 0.663 (#65) AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 64.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 65.5 More → 0.603 (#72) AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 65.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.712 (#62) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.701 (#61) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 120 | GP 33 More → 1199 (#46) RD 120 | GP 33

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-15 vs Montana Grizzlies W 83 - 66
2014-11-21 vs Georgia State Panthers W 80 - 70
2014-11-23 vs Mercer Bears W 75 - 62
2014-11-26 vs Missouri State Bears W 76 - 61
2014-11-28 vs Pacific Tigers W 75 - 64
2014-11-29 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 65 - 63
2014-12-03 vs UTEP Miners W 65 - 62
2014-12-07 vs Northern Colorado Bears W 66 - 58
2014-12-10 @ Colorado Buffaloes W 62 - 60
2014-12-13 vs Arkansas Fort Smith Lions W 88 - 60
2014-12-19 @ Denver Pioneers W 85 - 84
2014-12-22 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 75 - 54
2014-12-27 @ New Mexico State Aggies W 58 - 57
2014-12-31 vs Boise State Broncos W 71 - 65
2015-01-03 @ New Mexico Lobos L 53 - 66
2015-01-07 vs Wyoming Cowboys L 54 - 60
2015-01-10 @ Air Force Falcons W 92 - 87
2015-01-14 vs Nevada Wolf Pack W 98 - 42
2015-01-17 @ San José State Spartans W 70 - 41
2015-01-24 vs San Diego State Aztecs W 79 - 73
2015-01-27 @ Boise State Broncos L 78 - 82
2015-01-31 vs Fresno State Bulldogs W 80 - 57
2015-02-04 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 48 - 59
2015-02-07 vs UNLV Rebels W 83 - 82
2015-02-10 vs New Mexico Lobos W 70 - 59
2015-02-14 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 63 - 72
2015-02-18 @ Fresno State Bulldogs W 81 - 73
2015-02-21 vs Air Force Falcons W 66 - 53
2015-02-25 vs San José State Spartans W 72 - 56
2015-03-04 @ Nevada Wolf Pack W 78 - 62
2015-03-07 @ Utah State Aggies W 75 - 70
2015-03-12 vs Fresno State Bulldogs W 71 - 59
2015-03-13 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 43 - 56
2015-03-18 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits L 76 - 86

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J.J. Avila J.J. Avila F 30 31.9 16.8 7.3 2.7 2.0 0.4 2.6 2.3 24.2 203 26 7.8 10.5 53.6 14.3 64.7 2.66 328.8 54.3
Daniel Bejarano Daniel Bejarano G 31 30.4 11.3 7.1 2.7 0.4 0.6 1.6 3.1 17.4 166 28 5.9 8.5 35.4 35.7 80.0 -0.61 164.0 43.2
Stanton Kidd Stanton Kidd F 32 29.9 11.2 5.1 1.8 0.8 0.8 1.5 2.0 16.2 185 29 6.4 9.2 46.9 47.4 68.4 0.32 248.8 53.9
Gian Clavell Gian Clavell C 31 24.6 9.0 3.6 1.2 1.0 0.4 1.2 1.8 12.4 107 29 3.7 6.7 32.7 21.9 50.0 0.42 213.5 39.1
John Gillon John Gillon G 32 20.8 8.0 1.7 3.1 0.3 0.1 1.2 1.6 10.4 162 29 5.6 12.1 40.0 60.0 88.2 2.02 196.3 55.0
Joe De Ciman Joe De Ciman G 32 28.0 7.7 3.2 1.7 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.6 11.0 175 29 6.0 9.7 28.0 30.8 84.6 0.58 200.2 36.0
T. Daniels T. Daniels F 30 20.6 5.6 4.6 0.9 0.4 0.5 1.0 0.7 10.3 166 28 5.9 11.9 55.0 0 52.9 1.11 307.5 55.0
Fred Richardson Fred Richardson G 20 12.1 3.1 1.9 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.7 4.2 6 19 0.3 1.2 35.7 14.3 100.0 -3.22 168.5 39.3
Carlton Hurst Carlton Hurst G 29 9.2 1.8 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 3.2 64 25 2.6 12.9 36.4 0 66.7 -0.04 215.1 36.4
Antwan Scott Antwan Scott G 4 8.2 1.2 0.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.0 2.5 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.82 0 0
Marcus Holt Marcus Holt F 13 6.0 1.0 1.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.2 12 11 1.1 7.1 0.0 0.0 50.0 -2.68 345.7 0.0
Mike Burnett Mike Burnett G 4 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.43 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG