Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +13 (66-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Avila * | 34 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Daniels * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Bejarano * | 31 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 7 | - |
| J. De Ciman * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| S. Kidd * | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Gillon | 24 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| G. Clavell | 22 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| F. Richardson III | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C. Hurst | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Greenwood * | 34 | 1-10 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| O. Aget * | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| D. Williams * | 21 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| D. Delaney * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| X. Adams * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Jacobs | 22 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| S. Logwood | 20 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| J. N'Ganga | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Edwards | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Furstinger | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Goodman | 9 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
* = starter