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2014-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 46.9% 53.1% -
Bradley-Terry 50.2% 49.8% -
Margin 44.5% 55.5% +1.2 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 36.0% 64.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.5% 54.5% -
Log Adjusted 45.2% 54.8% -

Actual: Colorado State Rams +6 (71-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Thompson * 36 5-15 2-4 8-11 3 1 0 0 1 20 8 -
I. Hadziomerovic * 33 1-4 0-0 0-0 7 3 2 1 2 2 9 -
J. Webb III * 31 3-5 1-3 1-2 8 2 0 0 2 8 11 -
D. Marks * 25 4-9 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 2 1 8 3 -
K. Allen * 12 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
N. Duncan 24 3-10 1-7 1-1 3 0 1 0 0 8 2 -
R. Heyer 20 4-4 1-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 9 11 -
D. Trent 12 1-3 1-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
M. Alford 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
D. Wacker 3 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Ness 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. De Ciman * 38 1-5 1-3 2-2 3 2 0 1 0 5 6 -
D. Bejarano * 33 4-10 1-4 2-2 8 1 1 0 3 11 8 -
G. Clavell * 25 1-6 0-4 3-5 2 1 0 0 2 5 0 -
S. Kidd * 25 4-5 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 2 0 8 10 -
J.J. Avila * 25 5-9 0-0 3-4 4 4 3 0 1 13 14 -
J. Gillon 27 6-11 4-4 9-11 1 2 1 0 2 25 16 -
F. Richardson III 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
C. Hurst 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Holt 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter