Colgate

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018

Also known as: Colgate Raiders

Program History

Coach: Matt Langel

2023 Team Stats (35 games)

78.1

PPG

69.3

Opp

+8.8

Margin

51.1%

FG%

40.3%

3P%

66.1%

FT%

33.7

RPG

18.2

APG

10.2

67.4

Est. poss./game

74.8

Adj PPG

70.7

Adj Opp PPG

#111

Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2022-2023

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	1177 (#58)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	1126 (#85)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +85 elo More →	1139 (#25)	HCA +85 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More →	+3.6 (#118)	HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More →	+5.0 (#104)	HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.779 (#31)	-
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +11.9 More →	0.779 (#31)	NetEff +11.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.2 More →	0.619 (#122)	AdjNet +4.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.2 More →	0.620 (#121)	AdjNet +4.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.8 \| AdjD 70.7 More →	0.591 (#111)	AdjO 74.8 \| AdjD 70.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.2 \| AdjD 68.8 More →	0.641 (#58)	AdjO 75.2 \| AdjD 68.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.672 (#90)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.681 (#82)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 116 \| GP 34 More →	1141 (#77)	RD 116 \| GP 34

2023 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2022-11-07	@	Buffalo Bulls	L	87 - 88
2022-11-10	@	Brown Bears	W	77 - 68
2022-11-13	vs	Wells College Express	W	93 - 60
2022-11-15	@	Syracuse Orange	W	80 - 68
2022-11-18	@	Duquesne Dukes	L	80 - 85
2022-11-21	vs	Monmouth Hawks	W	85 - 66
2022-11-25	vs	Delaware Blue Hens	L	68 - 72
2022-11-26	@	Pennsylvania Quakers	L	69 - 81
2022-11-27	vs	Hartford Hawks	W	92 - 58
2022-12-02	@	Auburn Tigers	L	66 - 93
2022-12-07	@	Binghamton Bearcats	W	81 - 62
2022-12-10	vs	Vermont Catamounts	L	72 - 73
2022-12-22	vs	Cornell Big Red	L	80 - 91
2022-12-30	@	Loyola Maryland Greyhounds	W	101 - 67
2023-01-02	@	Lehigh Mountain Hawks	W	76 - 60
2023-01-05	vs	Navy Midshipmen	W	87 - 73
2023-01-09	@	Army Black Knights	W	77 - 75
2023-01-11	vs	Boston University Terriers	W	77 - 71
2023-01-14	vs	Bucknell Bison	W	71 - 65
2023-01-18	@	Holy Cross Crusaders	W	77 - 71
2023-01-21	vs	American University Eagles	W	62 - 61
2023-01-23	@	Boston University Terriers	W	64 - 51
2023-01-28	vs	Lafayette Leopards	W	69 - 57
2023-01-30	vs	Loyola Maryland Greyhounds	W	76 - 63
2023-02-04	@	American University Eagles	L	60 - 61
2023-02-08	vs	Lehigh Mountain Hawks	W	81 - 53
2023-02-11	@	Bucknell Bison	W	76 - 56
2023-02-15	vs	Army Black Knights	W	93 - 86
2023-02-18	vs	Holy Cross Crusaders	W	96 - 73
2023-02-22	@	Lafayette Leopards	W	73 - 69
2023-02-25	@	Navy Midshipmen	W	64 - 60
2023-03-02	vs	Loyola Maryland Greyhounds	W	92 - 73
2023-03-05	vs	Army Black Knights	W	91 - 74
2023-03-08	vs	Lafayette Leopards	W	79 - 61
2023-03-16	@	Texas Longhorns	L	61 - 81

2023 Roster

Show Alumni If everyone stayed four years

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM GP	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Tucker Richardson	G	35	34.3	13.7	5.2	5.7	2.1	0.3	2.5	11.9	12.6	353	34	10.4	12.4	45.0	31.7	51.0	5.27	52.0	51.3
Keegan Records	F	35	23.5	13.0	6.0	1.3	0.6	1.3	1.0	8.3	12.9	264	34	7.8	13.5	67.5	33.3	63.3	-0.38	68.5	68.0
Oliver Lynch-Daniels	G	32	31.6	12.1	3.4	2.2	0.9	0.1	1.4	8.7	8.6	253	31	8.2	10.5	51.6	49.7	87.5	-0.26	66.8	65.6
Braeden Smith	G	35	31.6	11.6	3.9	4.4	1.3	0.1	2.0	8.2	11.0	294	34	8.6	11.2	48.1	36.1	82.6	0.05	60.1	54.2
Ryan Moffatt	F	33	30.6	10.6	4.2	1.8	1.5	0.1	0.7	7.4	10.1	316	32	9.9	13.3	52.3	45.3	75.0	2.01	66.7	65.2
Jeff Woodward	F	35	17.7	6.9	4.5	2.2	0.3	0.8	1.3	4.5	9.0	43	34	1.3	2.9	58.9	0	55.9	-2.49	59.9	58.9
Chandler Baker	G	35	12.3	5.1	1.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.5	4.5	1.9	-19	34	-0.6	-1.8	42.3	42.3	81.2	-4.62	54.6	52.9
Sam Thomson	F	31	15.6	4.3	2.7	0.4	0.2	0.2	0.4	3.5	3.8	35	30	1.2	3.0	49.1	20.0	63.2	-2.37	52.5	49.5
Malcolm Bailey	F	1	10.0	4.0	9.0	3.0	1.0	1.0	0.0	3.0	15.0	-	-	-	-	66.7	0	0	-	66.7	66.7
Nicolas Louis-Jacques	G	32	6.2	1.9	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.2	1.8	0.5	-17	31	-0.5	-3.5	39.3	42.1	50.0	-5.49	53.7	53.6
Capitano, Alex	G	12	3.1	1.6	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.5	0.6	-22	12	-1.8	-24.0	44.4	22.2	50.0	-4.16	50.3	50.0
Brady Cummins	G	15	4.8	1.0	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	1.4	0.0	14	14	1.0	7.8	23.8	20.0	75.0	-0.81	33.0	28.6

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2022-2023 Shot Zones

161 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Points: who the team's points here most likely come from

Misses: who misses most here

Tucker RichardsonKeegan RecordsOliver Lynch-DanielsBraeden SmithRyan MoffattJeff WoodwardChandler Baker

Zone	FGM-FGA	FG%	Pts	Top scorer	Runner-up	Most misses	Runner-up
Restricted area	49-88	55.7	98	Keegan Records 33% (32 pts)	Tucker Richardson 22% (22 pts)	Tucker Richardson 23% (9 misses)	Oliver Lynch-Daniels 21% (8 misses)
Paint (non-RA)	10-21	47.6	20	Ryan Moffatt 30% (6 pts)	Keegan Records 20% (4 pts)	Jeff Woodward 36% (4 misses)	Tucker Richardson 27% (3 misses)
Mid-range left	2-4	50.0	4	Braeden Smith 50% (2 pts)	Oliver Lynch-Daniels 50% (2 pts)	Chandler Baker 50% (1 misses)	Nicolas Louis-Jacques 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range center	1-3	33.3	2	Braeden Smith 100% (2 pts)	-	Chandler Baker 50% (1 misses)	Oliver Lynch-Daniels 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range right	3-6	50.0	6	Chandler Baker 33% (2 pts)	Oliver Lynch-Daniels 33% (2 pts)	Braeden Smith 33% (1 misses)	Nicolas Louis-Jacques 33% (1 misses)
Left corner 3	1-5	20.0	3	Chandler Baker 100% (3 pts)	-	Tucker Richardson 50% (2 misses)	Chandler Baker 25% (1 misses)
Right corner 3	6-7	85.7	18	Oliver Lynch-Daniels 33% (6 pts)	Ryan Moffatt 33% (6 pts)	Braeden Smith 100% (1 misses)	-
Above-break 3 left	2-9	22.2	6	Braeden Smith 50% (3 pts)	Ryan Moffatt 50% (3 pts)	Ryan Moffatt 29% (2 misses)	Tucker Richardson 29% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 center	2-6	33.3	6	Tucker Richardson 100% (6 pts)	-	Oliver Lynch-Daniels 50% (2 misses)	Braeden Smith 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right	5-12	41.7	15	Oliver Lynch-Daniels 60% (9 pts)	Ryan Moffatt 20% (3 pts)	Oliver Lynch-Daniels 43% (3 misses)	Braeden Smith 29% (2 misses)