๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2023-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Navy Midshipmen Colgate Raiders Spread Result
Elo 17.8% 82.2% +9.2 โœ“ (4.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“
Margin 20.0% 80.0% +7.6 โœ“ (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.1% 57.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 23.6% 76.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 28.2% 71.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 28.1% 71.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.6% 66.4% - โœ“

Actual: Colgate Raiders +14 (87-73). Ratings: 2022-23 season-end ratings.

Navy Midshipmen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Nelson * 33 4-10 4-7 0-0 9 3 1 2 1 12 16 -
Sean Yoder * 30 4-7 2-3 2-2 4 2 0 0 3 12 8 -
Austin Benigni * 22 3-5 1-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 9 6 -
Daniel Deaver * 19 5-9 0-1 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 12 7 -
Christian Jones * 19 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
Patrick Dorsey 23 3-5 2-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 8 8 -
Austin Inge 18 3-9 1-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 7 2 -
Aidan Kehoe 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 0 2 -
Mac MacDonald 14 2-5 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 2 -
Mitch Fischer 6 0-4 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Kam Summers 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Braeden Smith * 38 5-11 2-4 6-8 3 7 2 0 1 18 18 -
Tucker Richardson * 36 3-8 1-3 5-9 6 7 0 1 1 12 17 -
Oliver Lynch-Daniels * 27 5-7 2-3 0-0 4 0 1 2 5 12 7 -
Ryan Moffatt * 27 3-6 2-3 0-0 4 3 3 0 0 8 12 -
Keegan Records * 21 7-10 1-1 1-1 2 1 1 0 0 16 10 -
Jeff Woodward 19 3-9 0-0 1-2 7 1 1 1 0 7 8 -
Chandler Baker 14 4-4 1-1 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 10 6 -
Sam Thomson 13 2-2 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Nicolas Louis-Jacques 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter