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Cincinnati

Also known as: Cincinnati Bearcats, Cincinnati
Program History

2022 Team Stats (3 games)

64.7
PPG
66.8
Opp
+1.9
Margin
40.8%
FG%
33.8%
3P%
62.5%
FT%
31.7
RPG
10.3
APG
12.0
TO
75.4
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1267 (#92) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1329 (#83) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 972 (#516) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +34.9 (#46) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +16.7 (#101) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.341 (#87) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -6.3 More → 0.322 (#175) NetEff -6.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.8 More → 0.551 (#59) AdjNet +1.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.8 More → 0.552 (#59) AdjNet +1.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 67.5 More → 0.552 (#176) AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 67.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.774 (#140) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.732 (#148) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 130 | GP 30 More → 1055 (#180) RD 130 | GP 30

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 65 - 43
2021-11-16 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 89 - 66
2021-11-22 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 71 - 51
2021-11-23 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 67 - 73
2021-11-27 vs Monmouth Hawks L 59 - 61
2021-12-01 @ Miami (OH) Redhawks W 59 - 58
2021-12-05 vs Bryant Bulldogs W 73 - 58
2021-12-11 @ Xavier Musketeers L 63 - 83
2021-12-14 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 77 - 50
2021-12-18 vs Ashland University Eagles W 71 - 57
2021-12-21 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 76 - 67
2021-12-28 @ Houston Cougars - Preview
2022-01-01 vs Tulane Green Wave L 60 - 68
2022-01-09 @ Memphis Tigers L 80 - 87
2022-01-12 vs East Carolina Pirates W 79 - 71
2022-01-16 @ Wichita State Shockers W 61 - 57
2022-01-20 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane W 90 - 69
2022-01-25 @ Temple Owls L 58 - 61
2022-01-30 @ East Carolina Pirates W 60 - 59
2022-02-06 vs Houston Cougars L 58 - 80
2022-02-09 @ South Florida Bulls W 70 - 59
2022-02-12 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane L 77 - 83
2022-02-15 vs Memphis Tigers L 74 - 81
2022-02-17 vs Wichita State Shockers W 85 - 76
2022-02-20 vs Temple Owls L 71 - 75
2022-02-23 @ UCF Knights L 61 - 75
2022-02-26 vs South Florida Bulls L 54 - 56
2022-03-01 @ Houston Cougars L 53 - 71
2022-03-03 @ SMU Mustangs L 71 - 76
2022-03-10 vs East Carolina Pirates W 74 - 63
2022-03-11 @ Houston Cougars L 56 - 69

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. DeJulius D. DeJulius - 30 29.0 14.8 2.8 2.5 0.7 0.0 1.8 3.8 15.3 52 1.6 2.2 43.0 23.6 94.7 0.4 169.4 48.7
J. Davenport J. Davenport - 9 27.9 10.1 4.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.4 5.8 8.8 - - - 25.0 29.4 66.7 1.67 83.3 34.6
L. Nolley II L. Nolley II - 2 32.5 10.0 5.5 3.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 5.0 12.0 108 3.7 5.6 50.0 50.0 100.0 0.93 91.9 55.0
M. Adams-Woods M. Adams-Woods - 30 27.6 8.3 2.6 3.0 0.8 0.1 1.1 2.0 11.6 - - - 30.0 28.0 92.3 0.94 174.3 35.8
J. Newman III J. Newman III - 29 25.8 6.7 4.2 1.6 1.0 0.2 1.1 1.9 10.6 -69 -3.5 -6.8 37.5 30.4 52.2 1.34 146.7 43.8
M. Saunders Jr. M. Saunders Jr. - 9 20.3 6.7 1.3 2.6 0.6 0.0 1.7 3.6 5.9 -219 -6.8 -8.6 43.8 38.5 61.5 0.92 79.5 51.6
S. Spencer S. Spencer G 1 18.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 -61 -2.8 -11.4 0 0 0 -0.92 0 0
Oguama, Ody Oguama, Ody - 30 13.4 4.2 3.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 1.2 7.5 - - - 45.7 0 43.5 - 138.5 45.7
Viktor Lakhin Viktor Lakhin C 8 10.9 4.1 2.6 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.5 1.6 4.2 42 1.4 5.1 61.5 100.0 0 0.54 126.9 65.4
N. Johnson N. Johnson G 1 23.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 6.0 147 3.4 5.8 0 0 0 1.45 0 0
A. Ado A. Ado F 9 18.8 2.3 4.9 0.3 0.9 1.4 0.8 0.6 8.6 23 0.7 1.7 40.0 0 83.3 -0.07 137.4 40.0
Mason Madsen Mason Madsen - 9 7.9 2.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.2 31 1.0 3.5 42.9 40.0 0 0.76 142.9 57.1
Q. Scott Q. Scott F 1 14.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 -13 -0.9 -5.8 0 0 0 -0.42 0 0
H. Koval H. Koval C 9 9.8 1.9 1.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 1.1 3.0 12 0.4 1.2 40.0 33.3 0 0.15 85.0 50.0
Jarrett Hensley Jarrett Hensley - 9 8.7 1.7 1.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.7 2.9 -22 -0.7 -3.5 50.0 33.3 60.0 -0.4 72.1 58.3
B. Matos B. Matos F 2 7.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 -48 -1.7 -6.2 0 0 0 -0.14 0 0
AJ McGinnis AJ McGinnis G 4 2.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 -0.15 50.0 50.0
C. Anthony C. Anthony - 8 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.4 - - - 14.3 16.7 0 - 28.6 21.4
R. Walker Jr. R. Walker Jr. G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 130 4.6 9.8 - - - 1.59 - -
S. Martin S. Martin G 4 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 86 2.2 9.8 0 0 0 0.63 0 0
R. Elvin R. Elvin - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -7 -0.4 -8.7 0 0 0 -0.24 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG