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Chicago State

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Also known as: Chicago State Cougars
Program History
Coach: Landon Bussie

2011 Team Stats (4 games)

73.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
39.5%
FG%
25.8%
3P%
63.3%
FT%
43.3
RPG
13.5
APG
23.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
60.7
Adj PPG
87.0
Adj Opp PPG
#345
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 510 (#343) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 614 (#344) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More → 843 (#338) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -27.7 (#345) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → -27.6 (#345) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.018 (#345) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -36.6 More → 0.014 (#345) AdjNet -36.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -36.9 More → 0.013 (#345) AdjNet -36.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.7 | AdjD 87.0 More → 0.084 (#345) AdjO 60.7 | AdjD 87.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 80.4 More → 0.142 (#345) AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 80.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.064 (#345) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.072 (#345) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 25 More → 587 (#344) RD 150 | GP 25

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 vs Concordia Illinois Cougars W 79 - 75
2010-11-14 @ DePaul Blue Demons L 81 - 114
2010-11-17 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 62 - 102
2010-11-20 @ BYU Cougars L 60 - 109
2010-11-23 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 52 - 121
2010-11-26 @ Georgia Southern Eagles W 64 - 59
2010-11-27 vs Liberty Flames L 65 - 67
2010-12-01 @ Wichita State Shockers L 51 - 91
2010-12-04 vs Southern Illinois Salukis L 61 - 75
2010-12-10 vs Central Arkansas Bears L 73 - 85
2010-12-11 @ Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks L 38 - 94
2010-12-14 vs Trinity Intl Trojans W 88 - 69
2010-12-17 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 57 - 86
2010-12-21 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 63 - 104
2010-12-23 @ Drake Bulldogs L 51 - 102
2010-12-28 @ TCU Horned Frogs L 72 - 99
2011-01-08 vs Utah Valley Wolverines L 82 - 93
2011-01-15 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 70 - 63
2011-01-22 vs NJIT Highlanders L 83 - 86
2011-01-27 @ Utah Valley Wolverines L 61 - 84
2011-02-03 @ Houston Christian Huskies L 94 - 97
2011-02-08 @ Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons L 50 - 95
2011-02-17 vs Olivet Nazarene Tigers L 76 - 81
2011-02-22 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 52 - 90
2011-02-26 @ South Dakota Coyotes L 73 - 105
2011-02-28 @ North Dakota Fighting Hawks L 52 - 74
2011-03-05 @ NJIT Highlanders L 46 - 78
2011-03-10 @ South Dakota Coyotes L 70 - 73

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Carl Montgomery Carl Montgomery F 17 25.5 15.7 7.9 0.9 0.6 1.1 2.4 3.8 20.1 -249 14 -17.8 -28.1 43.8 14.3 52.4 -3.12 182.3 44.5
Jon Montgomery Jon Montgomery G-F 17 26.6 12.5 2.8 1.3 0.9 0.1 1.8 3.2 12.6 -220 14 -15.7 -29.5 36.4 14.3 80.0 -2.31 172.9 39.1
Antonio Lofton Antonio Lofton G-F 17 29.4 9.6 5.9 1.6 1.3 0.2 3.8 2.6 12.1 -230 13 -17.7 -28.7 50.0 0.0 51.5 -4.0 139.3 50.0
Victor Scott Victor Scott G-F 13 25.8 8.5 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1 1.6 3.5 8.2 -168 11 -15.3 -28.5 39.1 33.3 66.7 -0.82 108.2 50.0
Christian Wall Christian Wall G 17 20.1 7.6 2.1 1.5 1.1 0.1 1.7 3.5 7.3 -141 13 -10.8 -25.2 49.2 36.8 75.0 -0.93 98.4 55.1
Hajji Martin Hajji Martin F 14 20.6 6.1 4.4 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.5 8.1 -207 12 -17.2 -34.3 42.9 0.0 50.0 -3.9 111.6 42.9
Sean Montgomery Sean Montgomery F 4 12.0 4.0 3.5 0.2 0.2 1.0 0.8 3.2 5.0 - - - - 46.2 0.0 25.0 -3.36 54.2 46.2
Jamill Harris Jamill Harris G 15 15.1 3.5 1.5 1.7 0.5 0.0 1.3 1.6 4.3 -98 11 -8.9 -32.5 25.0 33.3 72.7 -4.5 91.9 27.1
Archie Seals Archie Seals G 11 20.3 3.0 2.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.4 4.9 -87 7 -12.4 -28.3 0.0 0 100.0 -3.9 338.1 0.0
Ardarius Simmons Ardarius Simmons G 15 13.3 2.3 0.9 1.7 0.8 0.0 1.6 1.1 3.0 -164 14 -11.7 -34.3 37.5 0.0 60.0 -3.65 93.4 37.5
Quincy Ukaigwe Quincy Ukaigwe C 10 7.8 1.8 1.9 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.8 2.9 -48 7 -6.9 -43.1 37.5 0 0 -4.57 112.5 37.5
Joe Hill Joe Hill F 8 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 1.2 1 7 0.1 2.8 0.0 0 0 0.87 275.0 0.0
Steve Martin Steve Martin G 13 14.3 0.8 0.4 1.8 0.4 0.2 1.5 0.4 1.7 -83 11 -7.5 -26.9 20.0 0.0 0 -2.99 110.0 20.0
Pawel Kielbasa Pawel Kielbasa C 16 7.2 0.8 1.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.8 1.6 -72 11 -6.5 -37.4 25.0 0 50.0 -4.27 50.5 25.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG