Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +20.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Dakota Fighting Hawks +22 (74-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Lofton * | 38 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Christian Wall * | 35 | 10-16 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Victor Scott * | 33 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Archie Seals * | 30 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Carl Montgomery * | 23 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jon Montgomery | 15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Pawel Kielbasa | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Jamill Harris | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Quincy Ukaigwe | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ardarius Simmons | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joe Hill | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Webb * | 31 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Patrick Mitchell * | 27 | 7-19 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Josh Schuler * | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chris Clausen * | 21 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Derek Benter * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Troy Huff | 27 | 9-13 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Allard | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Anderson | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Brekke | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Nick Haugen | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Doug Archer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Dan Stockdale | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mike Mathison | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter