Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | Chicago State Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.5% | 52.5% | +0.6 | ✗ (12.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago State Cougars -12 (73-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Rutledge | 30 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 8-8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 21 | - |
| T. Sheppard | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| M. Pouncy | 27 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| C. Henson | 21 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 17 | - |
| R. Williams | 21 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| I. Qahwash | 17 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | - |
| T.K. Smith | 16 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| C. Dos Santos | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D. Clayborn | 12 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Jackson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. McClinton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Montgomery | 31 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| V. Scott | 29 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| S. Montgomery | 22 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| A. Lofton | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Simmons | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| H. Martin | 18 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Montgomery | 16 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J. Harris | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| C. Wall | 11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| S. Martin Jr. | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Q. Ukaigwe | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| P. Kielbasa | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter