🐻⬇️🏀

Central Connecticut

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2016 2014
Also known as: Central Connecticut Blue Devils
Program History
Coach: Patrick Sellers

2026 Team Stats (28 games)

73.6
PPG
70.1
Opp
+3.5
Margin
47.3%
FG%
36.5%
3P%
77.4%
FT%
34.6
RPG
13.7
APG
10.8
TO
74.7
Pace
68.0
AdjO
77.7
AdjD
#299
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1000 (#174) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 925 (#238) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1018 (#153) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -9.6 (#302) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +4.4 (#316) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.444 (#213) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.1 More → 0.502 (#172) NetEff +0.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.0 More → 0.166 (#307) AdjNet -14.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.2 More → 0.163 (#308) AdjNet -14.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 77.7 More → 0.293 (#299) AdjO 68.0 | AdjD 77.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 71.9 More → 0.463 (#437) AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 71.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.628 (#266) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.589 (#267) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 159 | GP 28 More → 993 (#244) RD 159 | GP 28

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Vermont State - Johnson Badgers W 117 - 55
2025-11-06 @ Quinnipiac Bobcats L 49 - 71
2025-11-11 @ Boston College Eagles W 60 - 59
2025-11-16 @ Massachusetts Minutemen L 77 - 84
2025-11-21 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 67 - 54
2025-11-24 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 108 - 106
2025-11-30 vs Johnson & Wales (RI) Griffins W 122 - 57
2025-12-03 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 61 - 77
2025-12-13 @ Binghamton Bearcats W 84 - 67
2025-12-18 vs Fairfield Stags L 70 - 84
2026-01-02 @ Long Island University Sharks L 78 - 84
2026-01-04 vs New Haven Chargers W 72 - 61
2026-01-08 vs Stonehill Skyhawks W 76 - 69
2026-01-10 @ Le Moyne Dolphins W 69 - 59
2026-01-19 @ Mercyhurst Lakers L 61 - 79
2026-01-23 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 66 - 76
2026-01-25 @ Stonehill Skyhawks L 59 - 61
2026-01-29 @ Wagner Seahawks W 62 - 55
2026-01-31 vs Long Island University Sharks L 59 - 80
2026-02-05 vs Chicago State Cougars W 78 - 67
2026-02-07 vs Wagner Seahawks W 84 - 67
2026-02-12 @ New Haven Chargers W 81 - 76
2026-02-14 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 63 - 57
2026-02-19 vs Le Moyne Dolphins W 78 - 77
2026-02-21 @ Chicago State Cougars L 51 - 70
2026-02-26 vs Mercyhurst Lakers W 80 - 78
2026-02-28 vs Saint Francis Red Flash W 69 - 64
2026-03-04 vs Wagner Seahawks L 60 - 70

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Smith Jr. D. Smith Jr. - 28 32.4 20.5 5.3 1.1 0.7 0.2 1.6 15.0 11.4 77 4.1 88.8 45.3 37.0 90.6 -0.31 58.8 51.4
M. Frazier M. Frazier - 28 28.1 12.1 7.3 0.9 0.8 1.8 1.4 7.9 13.6 29 1.4 3.3 65.9 0.0 61.5 -0.14 66.5 65.9
J. Rodgers J. Rodgers - 28 29.1 10.9 2.2 6.6 0.4 0.1 2.8 9.0 8.4 60 2.9 6.4 42.9 36.0 80.6 -0.11 53.9 49.2
M. Sanchez M. Sanchez - 27 24.5 9.1 2.1 0.7 0.9 0.1 0.9 7.0 5.0 5 0.2 0.6 45.8 43.2 79.2 -0.35 61.6 60.0
G. Spinelli G. Spinelli - 10 14.8 5.2 1.8 1.2 0.7 0.0 1.0 3.8 4.1 28 1.9 16.4 52.6 44.4 100.0 -0.51 62.6 57.9
J. Jones J. Jones - 24 29.3 4.4 5.6 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.9 4.2 7.7 -5 -0.4 -68.2 42.6 30.8 60.0 -0.06 48.3 46.5
R. Jones R. Jones - 22 10.5 4.0 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 3.8 1.1 -14 -0.5 -0.7 36.1 36.8 100.0 -0.31 53.3 53.0
Ashton Reynolds Ashton Reynolds - 21 10.5 3.9 2.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.2 2.8 4.0 -2 -0.1 -1.0 45.8 33.3 80.8 0.14 57.5 50.8
N. Ashley N. Ashley - 17 9.9 3.5 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.5 2.6 3.5 2 0.1 1.1 54.5 25.0 69.2 -0.4 60.3 58.0
Daniel Etiosa James Daniel Etiosa James - 26 12.8 3.5 3.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 2.6 4.6 22 1.2 5.9 50.7 31.8 83.3 -0.33 60.1 56.0
Ja'Kobe Williams Ja'Kobe Williams - 7 18.1 3.3 2.9 2.0 0.7 0.0 1.0 4.0 3.9 -55 -7.9 -36.7 25.0 20.0 70.0 -0.43 35.5 28.6
Elijah Parker Elijah Parker - 27 14.3 2.4 2.1 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.8 2.3 3.4 77 3.9 18.4 39.7 26.9 41.2 0.57 45.4 45.2
J. Mott J. Mott - 14 8.9 1.9 1.9 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.7 1.9 22 3.1 43.0 45.8 33.3 40.0 -0.13 47.5 47.9
A. Fox A. Fox - 2 5.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 2.0 - - - 33.3 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Corsley Edwards Jr. Corsley Edwards Jr. G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 226 10.8 20.4 - - - 1.63 - -
Rashawn Tibby Rashawn Tibby F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG