Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago State Cougars | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.7% | 78.3% | +7.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Connecticut Blue Devils +11 (78-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ray | 36 | 9-20 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 11 | - |
| M. Tankersley | 29 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| D. Cox | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Bush | 22 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| C. Gibson | 21 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| C. Sands | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Cockrill III | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Robinson | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Owens | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Zatsepin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Smith Jr. | 34 | 8-15 | 3-7 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 14 | - |
| M. Frazier | 34 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| J. Jones | 32 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| J. Rodgers | 31 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | - |
| M. Sanchez | 23 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| R. Jones | 12 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| E. Parker | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. James | 10 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Reynolds | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Ashley | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter