Model Predictions
| Model | Central Connecticut Blue Devils | Wagner Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.9% | 59.1% | +2.0 | ✗ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wagner Seahawks -7 (55-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rodgers | 29 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -1.6 |
| D. Smith Jr. | 29 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | +4.7 |
| M. Sanchez | 29 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +8.2 |
| M. Frazier | 27 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | -4.8 |
| D. James | 21 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +5.7 |
| E. Parker | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | +12.5 |
| A. Reynolds | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +5.6 |
| N. Ashley | 14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -2.4 |
| R. Jones | 12 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -3.5 |
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Baker | 37 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -5.5 |
| J. Awoke | 33 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -4.4 |
| N. Jones | 30 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +4.7 |
| T. Gray | 27 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| B. Basil | 23 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +1.4 |
| E. Placer | 20 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | -11.5 |
| B. Akanmu | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -6.6 |
| M. Cooper | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4.7 |
| E. Brown | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.9 |
* = starter