Central Connecticut
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
65.5
PPG
79.0
Opp
-13.5
Margin
42.0%
FG%
35.5%
3P%
64.8%
FT%
31.0
RPG
10.8
APG
11.8
TO
65.7
Est. poss./game
66.4
Adj PPG
70.5
Adj Opp PPG
#283
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 776 (#300) | Preseason prior 723 (returning production + recruiting): last season 874, returning -52, transfers -66, freshmen -34 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 923 (#246) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 927 (#243) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.4 (#319) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -12.3 (#319) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.156 (#310) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.228 (#334) | AdjNet -15.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.220 (#336) | AdjNet -16.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.356 (#283) | AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 70.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.360 (#280) | AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 70.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.295 (#298) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.296 (#298) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 913 (#239) | RD 172 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.240 (#333) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Temple Owls | L | 56 - 68 |
| 2026-11-05 | @ | Syracuse Orange | L | 49 - 102 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ | Dartmouth Big Green | W | 78 - 71 |
| 2026-11-12 | @ | Sacred Heart Pioneers | W | 79 - 75 |
| 2026-11-15 | vs | Quinnipiac Bobcats | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-17 | vs | Vermont State Lyndon Hornets | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Raphel Laurent
|
G | 4 | 30.8 | 18.8 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 15.2 | 8.5 | -36 | 4 | -9.0 | -12.3 | 44.3 | 38.1 | 81.2 | -0.59 | 55.1 | 50.8 |
Ashton Reynolds
|
G | 3 | 28.3 | 13.3 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 9.7 | 9.7 | -37 | 3 | -12.3 | -18.4 | 51.7 | 30.8 | 66.7 | -1.28 | 60.7 | 58.6 |
Victor Payne
|
G | 3 | 22.0 | 12.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 6.7 | 7.3 | 20 | 3 | 6.7 | 12.9 | 70.0 | 66.7 | 0 | 1.0 | 95.0 | 95.0 |
Jhace Johnson
|
G | 4 | 31.2 | 8.5 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 9.0 | 4.0 | -47 | 4 | -11.8 | -15.1 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 66.7 | -1.33 | 44.0 | 41.7 |
James Jones
|
G | 4 | 33.0 | 6.0 | 7.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 8.2 | -62 | 4 | -15.5 | -19.5 | 37.5 | 20.0 | 55.6 | -2.31 | 42.9 | 39.6 |
Daniel Etiosa James
|
F | 1 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 11 | 1 | 11.0 | 19.5 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | -0.88 | 46.0 | 50.0 |
Jayden Mott
|
F | 4 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 5.8 | 2.8 | -38 | 4 | -9.5 | -15.7 | 34.8 | 20.0 | 75.0 | -1.52 | 40.4 | 37.0 |
Brayden Jackson
|
G | 3 | 14.3 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.7 | 0.0 | -36 | 3 | -12.0 | -37.3 | 35.7 | 0.0 | 33.3 | -1.83 | 35.9 | 35.7 |
David Smith
|
G | 1 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 8 | 1 | 8.0 | 46.3 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.18 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
Elijah Parker
|
G | 4 | 15.2 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 4.2 | -10 | 4 | -2.5 | -6.6 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.86 | 41.0 | 37.5 |
Roddy Jones
|
G | 3 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -3 | 3 | -1.0 | -9.1 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0 | -0.79 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Rashawn Tibby
|
F | 4 | 6.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | -3 | 4 | -0.8 | -4.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.01 | 10.2 | 0.0 |
Jacori Ervin
|
F | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -9 | 1 | -9.0 | -57.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.64 | 0 | 0 |
Matt Goodwin
|
G | 3 | 6.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | -2.3 | -33 | 3 | -11.0 | -63.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Carson Gretz
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Colin Langdon
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
231 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Raphel LaurentVictor PayneAshton ReynoldsJhace JohnsonJames Jones
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 22-34 | 64.7 | 44 | Raphel Laurent 36% (16 pts) | James Jones 18% (8 pts) | Raphel Laurent 50% (6 misses) | Jayden Mott 25% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 33-73 | 45.2 | 66 | Raphel Laurent 27% (18 pts) | Ashton Reynolds 21% (14 pts) | Raphel Laurent 22% (9 misses) | Jayden Mott 15% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-14 | 7.1 | 2 | James Jones 100% (2 pts) | - | James Jones 31% (4 misses) | Jhace Johnson 31% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-8 | 25.0 | 4 | James Jones 50% (2 pts) | Jhace Johnson 50% (2 pts) | Jhace Johnson 33% (2 misses) | James Jones 17% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 6-9 | 66.7 | 12 | Jhace Johnson 33% (4 pts) | Raphel Laurent 33% (4 pts) | Raphel Laurent 67% (2 misses) | Jhace Johnson 33% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 2-10 | 20.0 | 6 | Jhace Johnson 50% (3 pts) | Victor Payne 50% (3 pts) | Ashton Reynolds 25% (2 misses) | Jhace Johnson 25% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 3-5 | 60.0 | 9 | James Jones 33% (3 pts) | Raphel Laurent 33% (3 pts) | Victor Payne 100% (2 misses) | - |
| Above-break 3 left | 9-31 | 29.0 | 27 | Raphel Laurent 33% (9 pts) | Victor Payne 33% (9 pts) | Jhace Johnson 27% (6 misses) | Raphel Laurent 23% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 5-16 | 31.2 | 15 | Ashton Reynolds 40% (6 pts) | Jhace Johnson 40% (6 pts) | Ashton Reynolds 18% (2 misses) | Jayden Mott 18% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 14-31 | 45.2 | 42 | Victor Payne 36% (15 pts) | Raphel Laurent 29% (12 pts) | Raphel Laurent 29% (5 misses) | Jayden Mott 12% (2 misses) |