Wagner
2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)
53.5
PPG
79.5
Opp
-26.0
Margin
31.9%
FG%
24.4%
3P%
70.0%
FT%
33.5
RPG
6.0
APG
14.0
TO
68.1
Est. poss./game
62.9
Adj PPG
68.1
Adj Opp PPG
#303
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 772 (#302) | Preseason prior 776 (returning production + recruiting): last season 897, returning -19, transfers -78, freshmen -23 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 876 (#304) | HCA +250 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 933 (#307) | HCA +250 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -6.7 (#268) | HCA +7.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.5 (#268) | HCA +7.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.102 (#341) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.250 (#342) | AdjNet -18.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.247 (#341) | AdjNet -18.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.346 (#303) | AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 68.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.379 (#302) | AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 68.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.295 (#314) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.301 (#315) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 838 (#315) | RD 194 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.178 (#298) | Preseason prior only; more training games are needed for a forecast. |
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | @ | Boston College Eagles | L | 50 - 76 |
| 2026-11-06 | @ | Miami Hurricanes | L | 57 - 83 |
| 2026-11-09 | @ | UConn Huskies | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | Bryant & Stratton-Albany Bobcats | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kareem Watson
|
F | 2 | 20.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 7.5 | -25 | 2 | -12.5 | -25.5 | 43.8 | 25.0 | 85.7 | -1.26 | 57.7 | 50.0 |
Cam Estevez
|
G | 2 | 33.0 | 10.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 16.5 | -6.0 | -45 | 2 | -22.5 | -27.2 | 27.3 | 12.5 | 0 | -1.34 | 30.3 | 30.3 |
Taj Bryant
|
G | 2 | 30.5 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.5 | 7.5 | -57 | 2 | -28.5 | -37.4 | 36.4 | 50.0 | 83.3 | -2.88 | 55.0 | 45.5 |
Tajae Jones
|
F | 2 | 26.0 | 7.5 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | -40 | 2 | -20.0 | -31.3 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 77.8 | -1.31 | 37.6 | 25.0 |
AJ Rodriguez
|
F | 2 | 22.5 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 4.5 | -27 | 2 | -13.5 | -23.6 | 27.3 | 33.3 | 75.0 | -0.58 | 43.1 | 36.4 |
Youssouf Singare
|
C | 2 | 21.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 | -17 | 2 | -8.5 | -16.1 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.12 | 40.5 | 44.4 |
Ryan Pettis
|
G | 2 | 17.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | -24 | 2 | -12.0 | -26.9 | 25.0 | 66.7 | 0 | -1.09 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
Jaren Curtis
|
G | 2 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | -3 | 2 | -1.5 | -5.7 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.19 | 25.4 | 28.6 |
Gavin Edwards
|
G | 1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -2 | 1 | -2.0 | -19.4 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Freddy Hassan
|
F | 2 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 3 | 2 | 1.5 | 7.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.19 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
William Patterson
|
C | 2 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -0.5 | -22 | 2 | -11.0 | -64.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.09 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Daye Kaba
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Laymen McGrady
|
G | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | 1 | -1.0 | -25.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 | 0 | 0 |
Baron Smith Jr.
|
C | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.52 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Wagner players in NBA 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Wagner game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Morales | 2019-22 | NBA | Orlando Magic | 6 | 9.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 11-07 0 pts, 2 reb, 1 ast | 6 GP, 0.8 PPG, 1.3 RPG, 0.3 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-07 | Alex Morales | NBA | Orlando Magic | @ Golden State Warriors | 15 | 0 | 2 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-05 | Alex Morales | NBA | Orlando Magic | @ Phoenix Suns | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-02 | Alex Morales | NBA | Orlando Magic | vs Washington Wizards | 14 | 3 | 2 | 0 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
119 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Cam EstevezKareem WatsonTaj BryantAJ RodriguezTajae JonesYoussouf SingareRyan PettisFreddy Hassan
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 9-17 | 52.9 | 18 | Youssouf Singare 33% (6 pts) | AJ Rodriguez 11% (2 pts) | Tajae Jones 38% (3 misses) | Jaren Curtis 25% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 14-36 | 38.9 | 28 | Cam Estevez 29% (8 pts) | Tajae Jones 21% (6 pts) | Cam Estevez 27% (6 misses) | Tajae Jones 18% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 3-12 | 25.0 | 6 | Cam Estevez 33% (2 pts) | Kareem Watson 33% (2 pts) | Cam Estevez 33% (3 misses) | Ryan Pettis 22% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-4 | 25.0 | 2 | Cam Estevez 100% (2 pts) | - | Cam Estevez 33% (1 misses) | Freddy Hassan 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 1-9 | 11.1 | 2 | Kareem Watson 100% (2 pts) | - | Taj Bryant 38% (3 misses) | Ryan Pettis 25% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 1-3 | 33.3 | 3 | Taj Bryant 100% (3 pts) | - | Freddy Hassan 50% (1 misses) | Kareem Watson 50% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-3 | 33.3 | 3 | Cam Estevez 100% (3 pts) | - | AJ Rodriguez 50% (1 misses) | Cam Estevez 50% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 3-16 | 18.8 | 9 | AJ Rodriguez 33% (3 pts) | Cam Estevez 33% (3 pts) | Cam Estevez 54% (7 misses) | AJ Rodriguez 15% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 1-8 | 12.5 | 3 | Taj Bryant 100% (3 pts) | - | Cam Estevez 57% (4 misses) | Kareem Watson 14% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 4-11 | 36.4 | 12 | Ryan Pettis 50% (6 pts) | AJ Rodriguez 25% (3 pts) | Cam Estevez 29% (2 misses) | Kareem Watson 29% (2 misses) |