Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
2026 Team Stats (30 games)
72.9
PPG
81.3
Opp
-8.1
Margin
42.0%
FG%
28.2%
3P%
73.5%
FT%
35.2
RPG
11.2
APG
13.5
TO
83.8
Pace
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 739 (#349) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 803 (#327) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 850 (#353) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -12.0 (#320) | - |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -14.6 (#340) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.128 (#342) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | Unavailable | ValueError: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | Unavailable | ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | Unavailable | ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.257 (#327) | - |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.257 (#358) | - |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | Unavailable | ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | Unavailable | ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 724 (#346) | - |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
D. Smith
|
- | 27 | 29.4 | 17.1 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 12.7 | 7.7 | -45 | -2.0 | -3.4 | 35.6 | 26.9 | 81.7 | -0.41 | 52.6 | 41.3 |
R. Jessamy
|
F | 28 | 26.5 | 13.9 | 6.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 10.0 | 12.2 | -57 | -2.6 | -5.7 | 53.0 | 20.0 | 66.4 | -0.17 | 57.4 | 53.6 |
CJ Hardy
|
G | 20 | 28.1 | 11.8 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 8.6 | 9.2 | -43 | -2.7 | -6.5 | 43.9 | 31.6 | 82.9 | -0.24 | 57.0 | 49.1 |
J. Alexander
|
G | 17 | 19.4 | 9.4 | 3.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 6.5 | 6.3 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 44.5 | 36.7 | 83.3 | 0.42 | 58.3 | 49.5 |
A. George
|
- | 27 | 28.3 | 8.7 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 8.7 | 4.0 | -118 | -5.1 | -9.5 | 40.4 | 20.0 | 64.8 | 0.31 | 45.2 | 42.3 |
M. Price
|
- | 28 | 18.2 | 6.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 6.5 | 1.4 | -43 | -1.9 | -6.1 | 37.2 | 32.5 | 69.2 | -0.06 | 46.5 | 44.5 |
T. Mark
|
- | 24 | 24.7 | 5.8 | 4.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 78 | 3.5 | 6.0 | 41.3 | 27.1 | 65.0 | 0.33 | 50.1 | 46.7 |
B. Waller
|
- | 21 | 11.1 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.4 | 2.0 | -16 | -0.8 | -3.8 | 45.1 | 36.8 | 87.5 | 0.05 | 54.5 | 50.0 |
K. Waller
|
G | 29 | 21.4 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.1 | 5.5 | -98 | -4.3 | -11.9 | 34.1 | 28.0 | 73.7 | 0.07 | 45.0 | 37.9 |
P. Geneste Jr.
|
- | 23 | 18.9 | 3.1 | 6.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 9.1 | 17 | 1.4 | 12.9 | 60.8 | 0 | 38.5 | 0.04 | 57.7 | 60.8 |
D. Purnell
|
- | 15 | 8.5 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 2.1 | -9 | -0.8 | -7.8 | 40.0 | 11.1 | 47.4 | 0.07 | 43.4 | 41.2 |
C. McCarty
|
- | 7 | 7.4 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 3.3 | 67 | 3.4 | 14.6 | 61.5 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.13 | 64.4 | 61.5 |
T. James Jr.
|
- | 8 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 160 | 9.4 | 17.9 | 26.7 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 1.69 | 32.4 | 33.3 |
C. Darby
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG