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Bry. & Strat. (Buf.)

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021
Also known as: Bry. & Strat. (Buf.)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026 latest available
Catalog

No materialized model snapshot for 2024 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 933 (#502) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -21.4 (#537) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.050 (#559) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -19.2 More → 0.099 (#622) AdjNet -19.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -19.0 More → 0.098 (#621) AdjNet -19.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 84.8 More → 0.207 (#622) AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 84.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 85.9 More → 0.236 (#571) AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 85.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.178 (#543) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.184 (#551) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 256 | GP 4 More → 739 (#494) RD 256 | GP 4

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-21 @ Tiffin L 66 - 94
2023-11-28 vs Clarion L 55 - 61

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Carius Key - 1 28.0 21.0 4.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 19.0 - - - 66.7 75.0 100.0 - 81.5 79.2
Ian Lopez - 1 29.0 19.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 11.0 15.0 - - - 63.6 55.6 0 0.35 86.4 86.4
Morgan Taylor - 1 26.0 15.0 5.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 18.0 -17 -2.8 -6.6 44.4 0.0 77.8 0.55 57.9 44.4
Wesley Jordan - 1 26.0 11.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 8.0 2 0.7 0.9 42.9 0 83.3 0.56 57.1 42.9
Brandon Swaby - 1 26.0 9.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 0.0 4 1.3 2.3 27.3 28.6 100.0 0.51 39.3 36.4
Rhaven Brown - 1 15.0 6.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 9.0 -5 -1.7 -3.8 100.0 100.0 0 0.11 150.0 150.0
John Muhammad - 1 11.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 7 1.8 28.0 100.0 0 50.0 -0.64 86.8 100.0
Eljae Deas - 1 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 4 2.0 73.3 33.3 50.0 0 -1.38 50.0 50.0
KJ Pruitt - 1 22.0 3.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 11.0 -65 -5.0 -48.1 33.3 50.0 0 0.18 50.0 50.0
Joshua Rivers - 1 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -3 -1.0 -1.9 100.0 0 0 0.25 100.0 100.0
DJ Gooden - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -5 -1.7 -91.6 0 0 0 -1.38 0 0
Max Hess - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Logan Kottinger - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 4 2.0 165.5 0.0 0.0 0 -1.77 0.0 0.0
Jacob Pleiman - 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -51 -2.8 -227.5 0 0 0 -0.73 0 0
Princeton Young - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG