Tiffin
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 845 (#406) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 933 (#381) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 855 (#569) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.2 (#231) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.2 (#308) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.354 (#408) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.393 (#257) | NetEff -3.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.637 (#340) | AdjNet +4.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.643 (#342) | AdjNet +5.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.605 (#326) | AdjO 70.9 | AdjD 66.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.480 (#347) | AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 66.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.441 (#366) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.424 (#377) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 861 (#404) | RD 102 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | McKendree | L | 44 - 63 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Lewis | W | 77 - 59 |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Eastern Ill. | L | 50 - 62 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Davenport | L | 59 - 66 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Union Commonwealth | W | 101 - 52 |
| 2025-11-30 | vs | Point Park | W | 84 - 77 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Northwood | L | 46 - 58 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Malone | L | 45 - 52 |
| 2025-12-10 | vs | Wayne St. (MI) | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Ky. Wesleyan | L | 65 - 75 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | P.R.-Bayamon | W | 55 - 49 |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Ana G. Méndez (PR) | L | 56 - 61 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Lake Erie | L | 59 - 79 |
| 2026-01-05 | vs | Cedarville | L | 68 - 70 |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Findlay | L | 55 - 89 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Walsh | L | 70 - 82 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Ashland | L | 55 - 69 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Hillsdale | W | 60 - 56 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Walsh | L | 58 - 76 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Thomas More | L | 54 - 83 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Ohio Dominican | L | 59 - 67 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Malone | W | 72 - 61 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Hillsdale | L | 59 - 67 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Findlay | L | 76 - 96 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ken Walker | - | 1 | 41.1 | 18.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 23.0 | -1.0 | 57 | 2.9 | 9.8 | 30.4 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0.97 | 37.7 | 37.0 |
| Jorge Sanchez-Ramos | - | 1 | 35.1 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 16.0 | 5 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 45.5 | 37.5 | 83.3 | 2.22 | 66.0 | 59.1 |
| Armandas Plintauskas | - | 1 | 32.5 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | 12 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 55.6 | 60.0 | 66.7 | 0.27 | 73.0 | 72.2 |
| Ashton Janowski | - | 1 | 34.8 | 16.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | -58 | -2.8 | -11.0 | 45.5 | 66.7 | 100.0 | -1.0 | 67.3 | 63.6 |
| Ethan Sellars | - | 1 | 30.6 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | -105 | -5.2 | -33.2 | 62.5 | 100.0 | 100.0 | -1.33 | 84.5 | 81.2 |
| Connor Stonebraker | - | 1 | 19.9 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 11.0 | -20 | -0.9 | -5.9 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 72.7 | -0.1 | 50.6 | 33.3 |
| Jonah Nesmith | - | 19 | 28.1 | 12.5 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 10.3 | 5.8 | -172 | -7.8 | -30.4 | 44.9 | 26.4 | 65.8 | -2.98 | 52.2 | 48.5 |
| Mikail Harmison | - | 1 | 26.2 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 26 | 1.2 | 10.6 | 42.9 | 40.0 | 75.0 | 2.18 | 62.8 | 57.1 |
| Sam Johnson | - | 1 | 32.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | -51 | -2.3 | -8.9 | 55.6 | 0 | 25.0 | -0.86 | 51.1 | 55.6 |
| Jonathan Whiteside | - | 1 | 16.1 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | -26 | -1.2 | -7.8 | 80.0 | 0 | 60.0 | 0.07 | 76.4 | 80.0 |
| D'monyae Davis | - | 19 | 26.8 | 10.9 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 6.9 | 8.9 | -74 | -3.5 | -12.7 | 54.5 | 44.0 | 70.0 | 0.77 | 65.7 | 62.9 |
| Anthony Ruffolo | - | 1 | 31.1 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | -1.0 | -14 | -0.6 | -2.2 | 28.6 | 28.6 | 0 | -0.64 | 35.7 | 35.7 |
| Alden Ritt | - | 1 | 40.3 | 10.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 18.0 | -27 | -1.4 | -7.0 | 30.0 | 12.5 | 100.0 | -2.13 | 44.2 | 35.0 |
| Caleb Mackrey | - | 1 | 27.7 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | -3 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -1.14 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Demar Burton | - | 17 | 26.9 | 9.4 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 7.1 | 9.8 | -119 | -5.7 | -26.4 | 54.2 | 0.0 | 72.5 | 0.95 | 57.8 | 54.2 |
| Will Gibson | - | 1 | 23.9 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 14.0 | -92 | -4.2 | -22.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | -2.33 | 48.3 | 50.0 |
| Zavion McClendon | - | 1 | 13.2 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 8 | 0.5 | 23.6 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -0.81 | 58.1 | 58.3 |
| Jermaine Taggart | - | 1 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 11 | 1.0 | 13.5 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.11 | 68.0 | 60.0 |
| Michael Lucarotti | - | 19 | 28.4 | 7.0 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 5.9 | 6.7 | -129 | -5.9 | -22.7 | 41.6 | 36.0 | 69.8 | 1.48 | 50.4 | 45.6 |
| Keane Hinkle | - | 1 | 30.5 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 14 | 0.7 | 5.8 | 28.6 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0.34 | 44.4 | 35.7 |
| Lavonte Harris | - | 1 | 34.5 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | -12 | -0.5 | -2.7 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 1.63 | 50.9 | 58.3 |
| Noah Smith | - | 16 | 20.3 | 6.4 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 6.6 | 4.5 | -135 | -6.8 | -46.2 | 38.7 | 28.6 | 61.5 | -2.03 | 45.6 | 44.3 |
| Garrett Bolte | - | 1 | 19.8 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 7.0 | -81 | -3.7 | -22.3 | 42.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -2.82 | 40.3 | 42.9 |
| Braylon Morris | - | 1 | 25.1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | -25 | -1.1 | -7.1 | 28.6 | 28.6 | 0 | -1.64 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Caleb Jewell | - | 1 | 7.9 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 84 | 3.8 | 16.4 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.4 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Chinedu Nwanwko | - | 1 | 10.1 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | -27 | -1.2 | -16.5 | 75.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.74 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| CJ Yarian | - | 1 | 19.8 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 15 | 0.7 | 4.8 | 20.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 1.13 | 37.0 | 30.0 |
| Curtis Jackson | - | 1 | 18.1 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 6 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 83.3 | 0.19 | 53.9 | 0.0 |
| TJ Pangonas | - | 7 | 20.8 | 4.4 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 5.0 | 1.7 | -137 | -7.6 | -262.0 | 31.4 | 21.7 | 44.4 | -0.16 | 39.8 | 38.6 |
| Caleb Glaser | - | 1 | 20.3 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | -78 | -3.9 | -27.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.94 | 29.6 | 0.0 |
| Dylan Smith | - | 1 | 23.4 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 55 | 3.1 | 13.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.42 | 44.2 | 0.0 |
| Avonte Wiggins | - | 1 | 7.9 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Ethan Damerum | - | 18 | 17.7 | 3.6 | 3.6 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 6.2 | -87 | -4.3 | -21.1 | 63.8 | 0 | 44.4 | -2.21 | 62.8 | 63.8 |
| Marquel Newsome | - | 14 | 14.9 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 1.1 | -77 | -4.8 | -53.0 | 28.3 | 16.7 | 71.4 | -1.94 | 37.2 | 32.1 |
| KJ Pruitt | - | 7 | 22.5 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 3.9 | 3.7 | -42 | -5.2 | -16.9 | 25.9 | 10.0 | 100.0 | -1.4 | 36.6 | 27.8 |
| Tavin Shaw | - | 5 | 10.1 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 | - | - | - | 46.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | - | 46.0 | 50.0 |
| Cole McWhinnie | - | 1 | 32.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | -38 | -1.7 | -7.5 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 1.17 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Jacob Pleiman | - | 8 | 13.4 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 2.6 | -86 | -4.8 | -67.8 | 38.9 | 16.7 | 50.0 | -1.69 | 45.1 | 41.7 |
| Caleb Bates | - | 7 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 1.0 | -47 | -5.9 | -366.2 | 29.4 | 12.5 | 60.0 | -0.43 | 36.5 | 32.4 |
| Curtis Blair III | - | 1 | 21.8 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 31 | 1.4 | 10.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.48 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Tommy Morgan | - | 1 | 20.1 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | -48 | -2.2 | -14.1 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.95 | 22.5 | 25.0 |
| Imran Deen | - | 1 | 20.8 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | -26 | -1.3 | -10.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.8 | 36.2 | 0.0 |
| Marshaun Flakes | - | 1 | 9.2 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | -65 | -4.6 | -28.5 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.53 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Sangolay Njie | - | 1 | 8.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 31 | 7.8 | 33.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.67 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Noah Trevino | - | 2 | 8.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | - | - | - | 16.7 | 33.3 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Jordan Jonathan | - | 1 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -7 | -0.3 | -2.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.46 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Andrew Blanton | - | 1 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 40 | 4.4 | 28.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2.95 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Paxton Giertz | - | 1 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -8 | -0.4 | -4.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| John Bardelli | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jordan Brown | - | 1 | 6.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -128 | -4.4 | -27.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.97 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Anthony Davis Jr. | - | 1 | 8.6 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | -20 | -4.0 | -49.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Ke'Andre Jones | - | 1 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -4.0 | -18 | -0.8 | -3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.82 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG