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Baylor

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Baylor Bears, Baylor
Program History
Coach: Scott Drew

2020 Team Stats (20 games)

70.2
PPG
59.5
Opp
+10.8
Margin
42.2%
FG%
34.9%
3P%
67.6%
FT%
37.0
RPG
13.9
APG
11.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
73.8
Adj PPG
56.9
Adj Opp PPG
#6
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1430 (#6) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1369 (#5) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More → 1158 (#25) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +18.3 (#6) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More → +17.2 (#7) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.873 (#7) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +27.9 More → 0.962 (#5) AdjNet +27.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +28.2 More → 0.963 (#5) AdjNet +28.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 56.9 More → 0.822 (#6) AdjO 73.8 | AdjD 56.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 60.8 More → 0.735 (#10) AdjO 72.0 | AdjD 60.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.876 (#6) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.865 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 30 More → 1376 (#4) RD 98 | GP 30

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-11-05 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 105 - 61
2019-11-08 vs Washington Huskies L 64 - 67
2019-11-15 vs Texas State Bobcats W 72 - 63
2019-11-21 vs Ohio Bobcats W 76 - 53
2019-11-22 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 77 - 65
2019-11-24 vs Villanova Wildcats W 87 - 78
2019-12-03 vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks W 78 - 46
2019-12-07 vs Arizona Wildcats W 63 - 58
2019-12-10 vs Butler Bulldogs W 53 - 52
2019-12-18 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 91 - 63
2019-12-30 vs Jackson State Tigers W 83 - 57
2020-01-04 vs Texas Longhorns W 59 - 44
2020-01-07 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders W 57 - 52
2020-01-11 @ Kansas Jayhawks W 67 - 55
2020-01-15 vs Iowa State Cyclones W 68 - 55
2020-01-18 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys W 75 - 68
2020-01-20 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 61 - 57
2020-01-25 @ Florida Gators W 72 - 61
2020-01-29 @ Iowa State Cyclones W 67 - 53
2020-02-01 vs TCU Horned Frogs W 68 - 52
2020-02-03 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 73 - 67
2020-02-08 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 78 - 70
2020-02-10 @ Texas Longhorns W 52 - 45
2020-02-15 vs West Virginia Mountaineers W 70 - 59
2020-02-18 @ Oklahoma Sooners W 65 - 54
2020-02-22 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 61 - 64
2020-02-25 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 85 - 66
2020-02-29 @ TCU Horned Frogs L 72 - 75
2020-03-02 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders W 71 - 68
2020-03-07 @ West Virginia Mountaineers L 64 - 76
2020-03-12 vs Kansas State Wildcats - Preview

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jared Butler Jared Butler - 30 30.4 16.0 3.2 3.1 1.6 0.1 2.4 10.9 10.8 241 28 8.6 11.5 40.1 36.5 73.7 3.45 66.6 49.5
MaCio Teague MaCio Teague G 28 32.6 13.9 4.6 1.9 1.0 0.2 1.2 8.4 11.8 219 26 8.4 10.5 38.6 34.4 84.3 2.91 71.4 48.1
Davion Mitchell Davion Mitchell - 30 32.4 9.9 2.7 3.8 1.5 0.4 2.2 6.6 9.4 206 28 7.4 9.3 40.6 33.7 62.3 2.5 66.3 47.7
Freddie Gillespie Freddie Gillespie - 30 28.4 9.6 9.0 0.5 1.1 2.2 0.9 5.6 15.9 216 28 7.7 10.9 56.5 0 65.4 2.15 70.9 56.5
Ty Gibson Ty Gibson - 1 21.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 12.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Devonte Bandoo Devonte Bandoo G 30 25.8 7.6 3.6 1.5 0.6 0.1 1.5 5.8 6.1 103 28 3.7 5.9 37.0 37.3 71.4 -1.51 61.8 46.0
Mark Vital Mark Vital G 29 26.1 6.1 6.2 1.8 1.7 0.6 1.4 4.4 10.6 175 27 6.5 10.1 43.0 12.5 37.0 2.08 58.0 43.8
Matthew Mayer Matthew Mayer - 30 11.6 4.8 1.9 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.7 3.5 3.9 87 28 3.1 11.0 41.5 36.1 72.0 2.91 62.0 47.6
Tristan Clark Tristan Clark F 22 13.1 4.0 2.4 0.5 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.1 4.2 63 21 3.0 9.8 55.3 0.0 61.5 0.69 82.5 55.3
Flo Thamba Flo Thamba - 19 9.1 2.3 2.2 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.4 1.2 3.8 -12 17 -0.7 -3.3 40.9 0 58.3 -4.13 66.0 40.9
Obim Okeke Obim Okeke G 8 3.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.5 -6 7 -0.9 -11.4 0.0 0.0 50.0 -2.47 7.3 0.0
Jackson Moffatt Jackson Moffatt G 6 2.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 -0.7 -7 5 -1.4 -29.0 0.0 0.0 0 -1.86 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG