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Kansas State Wildcats 11-21
@
2020-03-12
Baylor Bears 26-4

Model Predictions

Model Kansas State... Baylor Bears Spread Projected
Elo
2019-20 season-end ratings
 9.5% (#98) 90.5% (#6) Baylor Bears -14.4 65-79
Bradley-Terry
2019-20 season-end ratings
 7.0% (#199) 93.0% (#5) - -
Margin
2019-20 season-end ratings
 6.9% (#91) 93.1% (#6) Baylor Bears -14.3 -
Pythagorean
2019-20 season-end ratings
 31.8% (#204) 68.2% (#7) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2019-20 season-end ratings
 4.8% (#80) 95.2% (#5) - -
Log Adjusted
2019-20 season-end ratings
 4.8% (#80) 95.2% (#5) - -
Points Off/Def
2019-20 season-end ratings
 21.8% (#95) 78.2% (#6) - -

2019-20 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.8-point home edge (2018-19 margin fit); projected score: 2018-19's average total of 144 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Kansas State... Baylor Bears
Games 25 27
PPG 63.3 71.4
FG% 40.7% 43.2%
3PT% 31.1% 35.6%
FT% 63.9% 69.4%
RPG 33.0 36.6
APG 11.8 13.8
SPG 8.5 8.0
BPG 2.3 4.4
TOPG 13.9 12.0

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Kansas State... Baylor Bears
Adj. Off Eff 105.7 114.0
Adj. Def Eff 94.3 86.0
Adj. Net Eff 11.5 27.9

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Kansas State Wildcats Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Xavier Sneed 14.4 4.5 1.7 1.9 0.4 32.3
Cartier Diarra 13.5 3.9 4.2 1.8 0.3 31.3
Montavious Murphy 5.6 3.8 0.7 0.6 0.1 25.4
Mike McGuirl 6.8 2.3 1.9 0.9 0.1 24.9
DaJuan Gordon 6.3 3.5 0.7 1.1 0.1 24.3

Baylor Bears Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
MaCio Teague 13.9 4.6 1.9 1.0 0.2 32.6
Davion Mitchell 9.9 2.7 3.8 1.5 0.4 32.4
Jared Butler 16.0 3.2 3.1 1.6 0.1 30.4
Freddie Gillespie 9.6 9.0 0.5 1.1 2.2 28.4
Mark Vital 6.1 6.2 1.8 1.7 0.6 26.1