🐻⬇️🏀

Austin Peay Governors

Also known as: Austin Peay Governors
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1297 (#170) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1138 (#279) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 884 (#567) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +16.7 (#308) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -1.4 (#334) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 72.6 More → 0.416 (#493) AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 72.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.399 (#360) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.388 (#370) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 173 | GP 31 More → 814 (#541) RD 173 | GP 31

2013 Schedule & Results

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Betran T. Betran G 31 34.5 17.2 2.2 2.7 1.3 0.3 2.6 1.9 19.2 -59 -2.0 -2.7 43.3 37.0 92.9 0.22 367.8 51.7
A. Campbell A. Campbell F 30 31.0 14.6 4.9 1.9 0.8 0.0 2.4 1.1 18.7 -79 -2.6 -4.2 33.3 23.5 92.3 -0.33 565.6 39.4
W. Triggs W. Triggs F 30 29.3 12.2 5.3 2.0 0.8 0.5 2.3 1.5 17.0 -67 -2.2 -3.7 56.8 0 48.1 -0.02 327.5 56.8
C. Horton C. Horton C 31 24.7 8.2 6.8 0.8 0.7 3.2 2.0 0.7 17.1 -115 -3.7 -6.7 47.8 0 50.0 -0.78 449.1 47.8
C. Freeman C. Freeman G 28 16.2 5.2 4.0 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.2 9.6 -75 -2.7 -5.9 60.0 0 0.0 -0.41 1155.1 60.0
J. Clyburn J. Clyburn G 12 18.6 4.1 2.5 1.9 0.8 0.2 1.2 0.8 7.3 8 0.7 1.6 50.0 40.0 0 0.38 245.0 60.0
C. Arentsen C. Arentsen G 31 12.7 3.9 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.6 0.4 5.8 4 0.3 0.7 50.0 45.5 50.0 0.63 465.8 70.8
J. Purvis J. Purvis - 20 22.2 3.4 1.9 2.4 0.9 0.1 1.1 0.5 7.2 -14 -0.7 -1.3 50.0 57.1 75.0 0.13 289.1 70.0
P. Herring P. Herring F 25 7.9 2.5 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 3.9 25 1.0 3.4 25.0 33.3 0.0 0.8 349.1 31.2
A. Lynch A. Lynch G 29 13.3 2.3 1.0 1.7 0.3 0.1 1.6 0.2 3.6 -103 -3.6 -10.0 14.3 0.0 66.7 -0.51 396.6 14.3
H. Lawrence H. Lawrence G 24 10.6 2.2 1.5 1.2 0.3 0.1 2.0 0.3 2.9 -130 -5.2 -13.8 25.0 20.0 75.0 -1.04 266.4 31.2
T. Greer T. Greer G 20 8.2 1.9 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 2.1 -47 -2.4 -8.3 80.0 66.7 100.0 -0.1 174.6 100.0
J. Harms J. Harms F-C 8 3.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.4 - - - 0.0 0 100.0 - 212.8 0.0
M. Hasse M. Hasse C 19 6.5 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.0 3.3 20 1.1 6.1 0 0 75.0 0.34 539.8 0
K. Covington K. Covington - 3 3.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG