Austin Peay Governors
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1297 (#170) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1138 (#279) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 884 (#567) | HCA +147 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +16.7 (#308) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -1.4 (#334) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.416 (#493) | AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 72.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.399 (#360) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.388 (#370) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 814 (#541) | RD 173 | GP 31 |
2013 Schedule & Results
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
T. Betran
|
G | 31 | 34.5 | 17.2 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 19.2 | -59 | -2.0 | -2.7 | 43.3 | 37.0 | 92.9 | 0.22 | 367.8 | 51.7 |
A. Campbell
|
F | 30 | 31.0 | 14.6 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 18.7 | -79 | -2.6 | -4.2 | 33.3 | 23.5 | 92.3 | -0.33 | 565.6 | 39.4 |
W. Triggs
|
F | 30 | 29.3 | 12.2 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 17.0 | -67 | -2.2 | -3.7 | 56.8 | 0 | 48.1 | -0.02 | 327.5 | 56.8 |
C. Horton
|
C | 31 | 24.7 | 8.2 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 17.1 | -115 | -3.7 | -6.7 | 47.8 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.78 | 449.1 | 47.8 |
C. Freeman
|
G | 28 | 16.2 | 5.2 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 9.6 | -75 | -2.7 | -5.9 | 60.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.41 | 1155.1 | 60.0 |
J. Clyburn
|
G | 12 | 18.6 | 4.1 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 7.3 | 8 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 50.0 | 40.0 | 0 | 0.38 | 245.0 | 60.0 |
C. Arentsen
|
G | 31 | 12.7 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 5.8 | 4 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 50.0 | 45.5 | 50.0 | 0.63 | 465.8 | 70.8 |
J. Purvis
|
- | 20 | 22.2 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 7.2 | -14 | -0.7 | -1.3 | 50.0 | 57.1 | 75.0 | 0.13 | 289.1 | 70.0 |
P. Herring
|
F | 25 | 7.9 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 3.9 | 25 | 1.0 | 3.4 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 349.1 | 31.2 |
A. Lynch
|
G | 29 | 13.3 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 3.6 | -103 | -3.6 | -10.0 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.51 | 396.6 | 14.3 |
H. Lawrence
|
G | 24 | 10.6 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 2.9 | -130 | -5.2 | -13.8 | 25.0 | 20.0 | 75.0 | -1.04 | 266.4 | 31.2 |
T. Greer
|
G | 20 | 8.2 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 2.1 | -47 | -2.4 | -8.3 | 80.0 | 66.7 | 100.0 | -0.1 | 174.6 | 100.0 |
J. Harms
|
F-C | 8 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.4 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 212.8 | 0.0 |
M. Hasse
|
C | 19 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 20 | 1.1 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 75.0 | 0.34 | 539.8 | 0 |
K. Covington
|
- | 3 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG