Model Predictions
| Model | SIU Edwardsville Cougars | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.9% | 62.1% | +2.7 | ✗ (15.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.4% | 57.6% | +1.7 | ✗ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors -13 (53-66). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
SIU Edwardsville Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Davis * | 39 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jerome Jones * | 35 | 9-18 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Michael Messer * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Reggie Reed * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Derian Shaffer * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Mark Yelovich | 20 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Ray Lester | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tim Johnson | 13 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Charles Joy | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Zeke Schneider | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Betran * | 36 | 6-17 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Campbell * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Will Triggs * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Chris Horton * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Jeremy Purvis * | 23 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| AJ Lynch | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Herdie Lawrence | 14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Chris Freeman | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Cory Arentsen | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Matt Hasse | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Thomas Greer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter