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Arizona

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Arizona Wildcats, Arizona
Program History
Coach: Sean Miller

2017 Team Stats (31 games)

77.5
PPG
66.2
Opp
+11.3
Margin
48.7%
FG%
40.6%
3P%
76.9%
FT%
36.3
RPG
14.0
APG
11.2
TO
-
Est. poss./game
77.7
Adj PPG
61.6
Adj Opp PPG
#23
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1461 (#9) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1403 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More → 1203 (#6) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +17.2 (#23) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → +17.6 (#16) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.848 (#17) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +24.8 More → 0.946 (#22) AdjNet +24.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +25.0 More → 0.947 (#22) AdjNet +25.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 61.6 More → 0.812 (#23) AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 61.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 65.5 More → 0.752 (#16) AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 65.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.881 (#14) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.873 (#14) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 37 More → 1393 (#7) RD 99 | GP 37

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 @ Michigan State Spartans W 65 - 63
2016-11-15 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 78 - 66
2016-11-18 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 95 - 65
2016-11-21 vs Northern Colorado Bears W 71 - 55
2016-11-24 vs Santa Clara Broncos W 69 - 61
2016-11-25 @ Butler Bulldogs L 65 - 69
2016-11-30 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 85 - 63
2016-12-03 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs L 62 - 69
2016-12-06 vs UC Irvine Anteaters W 79 - 57
2016-12-10 @ Missouri Tigers W 79 - 60
2016-12-14 vs Grand Canyon Lopes W 64 - 54
2016-12-17 @ Texas A&M Aggies W 67 - 63
2016-12-20 vs New Mexico Lobos W 77 - 46
2016-12-30 @ California Golden Bears W 67 - 62
2017-01-01 @ Stanford Cardinal W 91 - 52
2017-01-05 vs Utah Utes W 66 - 56
2017-01-07 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 82 - 73
2017-01-12 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 91 - 75
2017-01-19 @ USC Trojans W 73 - 66
2017-01-21 @ UCLA Bruins W 96 - 85
2017-01-26 vs Washington State Cougars W 79 - 62
2017-01-29 vs Washington Huskies W 77 - 66
2017-02-02 @ Oregon State Beavers W 71 - 54
2017-02-04 @ Oregon Ducks L 58 - 85
2017-02-08 vs Stanford Cardinal W 74 - 67
2017-02-11 vs California Golden Bears W 62 - 57
2017-02-16 @ Washington State Cougars W 78 - 59
2017-02-18 @ Washington Huskies W 76 - 68
2017-02-23 vs USC Trojans W 90 - 77
2017-02-25 vs UCLA Bruins L 72 - 77
2017-03-04 @ Arizona State Sun Devils W 73 - 60
2017-03-09 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 92 - 78
2017-03-10 vs UCLA Bruins W 86 - 75
2017-03-11 @ Oregon Ducks W 83 - 80
2017-03-16 vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks W 100 - 82
2017-03-18 vs Saint Mary's Gaels W 69 - 60
2017-03-23 vs Xavier Musketeers L 71 - 73

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Allonzo Trier Allonzo Trier - 18 31.9 17.2 5.3 2.7 0.4 0.1 1.7 10.3 13.7 - - - - 47.3 39.3 81.6 1.95 65.6 56.2
Lauri Markkanen Lauri Markkanen - 31 30.6 15.4 7.2 0.8 0.3 0.6 1.1 10.0 13.2 167 13 12.8 18.1 49.8 42.4 82.0 6.02 64.8 59.4
Dusan Ristic Dusan Ristic C 34 23.0 11.1 5.3 0.4 0.2 0.4 1.1 7.3 9.0 113 12 9.4 18.4 57.1 50.0 77.9 2.86 67.9 57.3
Rawle Alkins Rawle Alkins G 35 28.1 10.9 5.0 2.1 0.9 0.5 1.8 7.2 10.3 106 13 8.2 12.8 46.6 38.8 71.2 -0.36 66.4 54.5
Kadeem Allen Kadeem Allen - 32 30.8 10.0 4.2 3.2 1.5 0.6 1.9 6.3 11.3 95 10 9.5 15.1 47.3 46.4 77.1 1.66 65.4 55.2
Kobi Simmons Kobi Simmons - 35 23.2 8.3 1.6 2.0 0.6 0.1 1.3 6.3 5.0 123 13 9.5 15.2 39.2 34.6 80.3 2.72 58.0 45.5
Chance Comanche Chance Comanche C 35 18.0 6.1 3.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.0 3.7 5.8 37 13 2.8 7.7 59.4 0 71.6 -3.1 67.9 59.4
Parker Jackson-Cartwright Parker Jackson-Cartwright G 29 24.5 5.6 2.4 4.1 1.1 0.1 1.3 3.4 8.6 87 7 12.4 15.1 42.0 44.4 68.3 -0.59 68.6 54.0
Keanu Pinder Keanu Pinder F 33 11.9 2.1 2.8 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.3 4.1 84 13 6.5 19.0 54.8 33.3 59.1 2.21 67.7 56.0
Kory Jones Kory Jones G 4 1.8 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0 -1.87 150.0 150.0
Jake Desjardins Jake Desjardins F 5 1.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 -0.2 - - - - 0.0 0 100.0 -1.94 34.7 0.0
Paulo Cruz Paulo Cruz F 7 1.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.3 -0.7 7 5 1.4 22.5 0.0 0.0 0 -0.47 0.0 0.0
Tyler Trillo Tyler Trillo G 7 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 -0.1 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -0.41 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG