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2017-02-23

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 17.5% 82.5% -
Bradley-Terry 33.9% 66.1% -
Margin 10.1% 89.9% +12.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 23.9% 76.1% -
Efficiency 1.4% 98.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.1% 88.9% -
Log Adjusted 11.1% 88.9% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +13 (90-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Stewart 35 2-5 0-1 1-2 1 3 1 0 0 5 5 -
J. McLaughlin 34 5-7 1-1 2-2 0 3 1 0 3 13 7 -
C. Metu 33 6-11 0-0 3-4 12 2 0 1 3 15 16 -
B. Boatwright 31 6-11 3-7 8-8 4 2 0 0 4 23 14 -
D. Melton 28 5-9 0-3 0-1 5 4 0 0 3 10 7 -
S. Aaron 18 2-4 1-2 0-1 1 2 1 0 0 5 5 -
N. Rakocevic 11 0-1 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
J. Mathews 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Karis 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Markkanen 35 4-10 0-1 3-3 7 2 0 0 0 11 10 -
A. Trier 34 7-11 4-6 7-8 4 1 0 1 1 25 19 -
K. Allen 32 4-10 0-3 0-0 5 2 3 1 1 8 8 -
P. Jackson-Cartwright 30 3-5 3-4 1-2 3 5 2 1 1 10 15 -
C. Comanche 21 1-5 0-0 4-4 1 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
D. Ristic 18 5-8 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 10 6 -
R. Alkins 17 5-5 2-2 0-0 4 4 1 1 3 12 14 -
K. Simmons 13 3-9 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 0 -

* = starter