Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.2% | 94.8% | +15.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +12 (78-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Suber * | 33 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Jaylin Airington * | 33 | 10-25 | 4-10 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 9 | - |
| Dedrick Basile * | 27 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Brent Wrapp * | 26 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Matt Smith * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Shon Briggs | 22 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Taze Moore | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Justin Pride | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Damiyne Durham | 9 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Moataz Aly | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bray Barnes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen | 36 | 8-11 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 24 | - |
| Kobi Simmons * | 34 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 8-11 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Parker Jackson-Cartwright * | 34 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Rawle Alkins * | 30 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Dusan Ristic * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Chance Comanche | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Keanu Pinder | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Paulo Cruz | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter