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Arizona

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Arizona Wildcats, Arizona
Program History
Coach: Sean Miller

2016 Team Stats (31 games)

80.5
PPG
68.5
Opp
+12.0
Margin
47.7%
FG%
38.2%
3P%
72.2%
FT%
40.4
RPG
14.2
APG
12.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
80.1
Adj PPG
64.4
Adj Opp PPG
#18
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1340 (#22) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1238 (#31) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +98 elo More → 1057 (#94) HCA +98 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +16.8 (#18) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +14.7 (#25) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.856 (#15) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +24.9 More → 0.947 (#14) AdjNet +24.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +25.2 More → 0.948 (#14) AdjNet +25.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 64.4 More → 0.806 (#18) AdjO 80.1 | AdjD 64.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 68.4 More → 0.703 (#27) AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 68.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.828 (#23) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.812 (#25) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 34 More → 1250 (#32) RD 112 | GP 34

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-13 vs Pacific Tigers W 79 - 61
2015-11-16 vs Bradley Braves W 90 - 60
2015-11-19 vs Boise State Broncos W 88 - 76
2015-11-22 vs Northwestern State Demons W 61 - 42
2015-11-26 vs Santa Clara Broncos W 75 - 73
2015-11-27 vs Providence Friars L 65 - 69
2015-11-29 vs Boise State Broncos W 68 - 59
2015-12-05 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs W 68 - 63
2015-12-09 vs Fresno State Bulldogs W 85 - 72
2015-12-13 vs Missouri Tigers W 88 - 52
2015-12-16 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 92 - 37
2015-12-19 vs UNLV Rebels W 82 - 70
2015-12-22 vs Long Beach State Beach W 85 - 70
2016-01-03 @ Arizona State Sun Devils W 94 - 82
2016-01-07 @ UCLA Bruins L 84 - 87
2016-01-09 @ USC Trojans L 101 - 103
2016-01-14 vs Washington Huskies W 99 - 67
2016-01-16 vs Washington State Cougars W 90 - 66
2016-01-21 @ Stanford Cardinal W 71 - 57
2016-01-23 @ California Golden Bears L 73 - 74
2016-01-28 vs Oregon Ducks L 75 - 83
2016-01-30 vs Oregon State Beavers W 80 - 63
2016-02-03 @ Washington State Cougars W 79 - 64
2016-02-06 @ Washington Huskies W 77 - 72
2016-02-12 vs UCLA Bruins W 81 - 75
2016-02-14 vs USC Trojans W 86 - 78
2016-02-17 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 99 - 61
2016-02-24 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 72 - 75
2016-02-27 @ Utah Utes L 64 - 70
2016-03-03 vs California Golden Bears W 64 - 61
2016-03-05 vs Stanford Cardinal W 94 - 62
2016-03-10 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 82 - 78
2016-03-11 @ Oregon Ducks L 89 - 95
2016-03-17 vs Wichita State Shockers L 55 - 65

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Ryan Anderson Ryan Anderson F 33 29.2 15.3 10.1 0.8 0.7 0.6 1.9 8.4 17.2 - - - - 54.9 20.0 74.0 - 69.2 55.1
Gabe York Gabe York G 34 33.3 15.0 3.2 2.2 0.9 0.3 2.1 11.4 8.1 - - - - 41.6 41.7 75.0 - 61.0 53.2
Allonzo Trier Allonzo Trier - 27 28.0 14.8 3.3 1.1 0.5 0.2 1.9 8.9 9.2 - - - - 45.2 36.0 79.7 - 67.6 52.7
Kaleb Tarczewski Kaleb Tarczewski C 26 27.4 9.4 9.3 0.7 0.3 1.4 1.3 5.7 14.0 - - - - 53.1 0 71.2 - 61.3 53.1
Kadeem Allen Kadeem Allen - 34 24.9 8.4 3.1 3.6 1.0 0.8 2.0 5.8 9.1 - - - - 45.9 35.7 70.1 - 60.8 49.7
Dusan Ristic Dusan Ristic C 34 16.5 7.1 3.8 0.8 0.1 0.7 1.2 4.5 6.8 - - - - 55.6 37.5 67.6 - 65.5 56.5
Mark Tollefsen Mark Tollefsen F 34 21.9 7.0 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 4.7 7.0 - - - - 53.1 36.9 80.0 - 67.6 60.6
Parker Jackson-Cartwright Parker Jackson-Cartwright G 34 21.2 5.2 1.6 3.4 0.6 0.2 1.4 3.6 6.1 - - - - 38.7 39.1 63.6 - 60.1 48.8
Jacob Hazzard Jacob Hazzard G 7 3.7 2.6 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.4 1.4 - - - - 60.0 66.7 100.0 - 82.7 80.0
Elliott Pitts Elliott Pitts G 7 21.3 2.3 2.3 1.9 1.1 0.0 1.6 3.3 2.7 - - - - 26.1 7.7 0.0 - 33.5 28.3
Justin Simon Justin Simon G 24 7.5 2.3 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.6 1.9 1.9 - - - - 50.0 33.3 42.1 - 51.5 51.1
Chance Comanche Chance Comanche C 23 6.0 1.9 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.3 1.4 2.3 - - - - 46.9 0 68.8 - 55.1 46.9
Paulo Cruz Paulo Cruz F 6 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 -0.5 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG