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2016-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 6.0% 94.0% -
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% -
Margin 16.0% 84.0% +9.1 (17.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% -
Efficiency 40.8% 59.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.3% 46.7% -
Log Adjusted 53.1% 46.9% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats -8 (75-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Brooks * 37 10-19 2-5 2-4 1 1 2 0 1 24 8 -
E. Cook * 32 5-11 1-3 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 13 6 -
T. Dorsey * 31 5-10 0-2 2-3 1 3 0 0 2 12 4 -
C. Benson * 30 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 5 10 -
C. Boucher * 23 4-9 0-2 2-2 5 0 3 0 1 10 8 -
D. Benjamin 23 4-6 3-5 4-5 4 0 2 0 2 15 13 +10.1
J. Bell 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 3 +14.0
R. Sorkin 10 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 +8.9

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. York * 36 7-15 4-9 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 18 4 -1.6
K. Allen * 34 3-7 0-2 3-4 4 10 0 0 5 9 11 -
R. Anderson * 32 8-9 0-0 6-8 10 1 1 0 5 22 20 -9.3
M. Tollefsen * 29 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 4 0 1 0 4 7 -9.3
K. Tarczewski * 28 3-3 0-0 5-7 5 0 0 1 0 11 14 -7.6
P. Jackson-Cartwright 19 2-3 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
D. Ristic 13 1-1 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 2 5 4 -1.7
J. Simon 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 3 0 -1 -
C. Comanche 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter