Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona Wildcats | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✗ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -5 (63-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Trier * | 35 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | -2.4 |
| G. York * | 35 | 7-16 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | -2.2 |
| R. Anderson * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | -2.4 |
| D. Ristic * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -9.1 |
| K. Allen * | 19 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Tollefsen | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| P. Jackson-Cartwright | 19 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| E. Pitts | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +5.3 |
| C. Comanche | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Simon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Wiltjer * | 39 | 14-27 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 33 | 16 | +6.7 |
| J. Perkins * | 37 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +6.3 |
| K. Dranginis * | 35 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | +6.6 |
| D. Sabonis * | 35 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 15 | - |
| E. McClellan * | 31 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -4.8 |
| S. Melson | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +11.2 |
| R. Edwards | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B. Alberts | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter