Arizona
2026-2027 Team Stats (3 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 982 (#176) | Preseason prior 928 (returning production + recruiting): last season 965, returning -53, transfers +16, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 987 (#169) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 987 (#171) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.7 (#105) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.6 (#105) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.380 (#176) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.542 (#141) | AdjNet +7.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.547 (#145) | AdjNet +7.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.560 (#134) | AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 61.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.558 (#134) | AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 61.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.564 (#139) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.564 (#139) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 982 (#170) | RD 182 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.477 (#166) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Stanford Cardinal | W | 84 - 69 |
| 2026-11-08 | vs | Iona Gaels | W | 74 - 61 |
| 2026-11-12 | @ | UCLA Bruins | L | 44 - 76 |
| 2026-11-15 | vs | Oregon State Beavers | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-19 | vs | New Mexico State Aggies | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Breanna Williams
|
F | 3 | 18.3 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.7 | 10.3 | 18 | 3 | 6.0 | 13.1 | 53.8 | 0.0 | 68.8 | 2.03 | 59.0 | 53.8 |
Sumayah Sugapong
|
G | 3 | 27.3 | 10.0 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 11.7 | 3.3 | -3 | 3 | -1.0 | -1.5 | 28.6 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -1.47 | 37.2 | 34.3 |
Jasleen Green
|
G | 3 | 25.3 | 9.7 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 8.0 | 14 | 3 | 4.7 | 7.4 | 52.6 | 66.7 | 70.0 | 1.35 | 62.0 | 57.9 |
Aliyahna Morris
|
G | 3 | 25.3 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 9.0 | 2.7 | 14 | 3 | 4.7 | 7.3 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 85.7 | 1.96 | 44.9 | 38.9 |
Makayla Presser-Palmer
|
G | 3 | 23.7 | 8.0 | 4.7 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 5.0 | 7.7 | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 53.3 | 0.0 | 57.1 | 1.36 | 56.7 | 53.3 |
Gerda Raulusaityte
|
F | 3 | 18.3 | 6.0 | 4.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 5.3 | -17 | 3 | -5.7 | -12.5 | 54.5 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -1.08 | 60.2 | 54.5 |
Arynn Finley
|
G | 3 | 23.3 | 5.0 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 5.0 | -12 | 3 | -4.0 | -6.8 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 66.7 | -0.87 | 49.0 | 46.4 |
Molly Ladwig
|
G | 3 | 16.0 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.3 | -11 | 3 | -3.7 | -9.2 | 33.3 | 40.0 | 50.0 | -3.04 | 40.9 | 40.0 |
Priyanka Ponnam
|
G | 2 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | -5 | 2 | -2.5 | -19.1 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.78 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Karolina Ulan
|
G | 3 | 6.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | -2 | 3 | -0.7 | -3.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.66 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
Dionna Gray
|
G | 3 | 10.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0.3 | -14 | 3 | -4.7 | -17.6 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.34 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
Callie Hinder
|
F | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -5 | 1 | -5.0 | -96.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 | 0 | 0 |
Anastasiia Semenova
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Arizona players in WNBA 2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Arizona game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aari McDonald | 2018-21 | WNBA | Minnesota Lynx | 3 | 15.3 | 7.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 09-29 8 pts, 0 reb, 3 ast Playoffs | no games |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Aari McDonald | WNBA Playoffs | Minnesota Lynx | @ New York Liberty | 14 | 8 | 0 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-09-27 | Aari McDonald | WNBA Playoffs | Minnesota Lynx | vs New York Liberty | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-09-24 | Aari McDonald | WNBA | Minnesota Lynx | vs Indiana Fever | 20 | 8 | 0 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-05-03 | Derin Erdogan | WNBA Preseason | New York Liberty | @ Connecticut Sun | 18 | 7 | 0 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-04-25 | Derin Erdogan | WNBA Preseason | New York Liberty | vs Indiana Fever | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-04-25 | Cate Reese | WNBA Preseason | Golden State Valkyries | vs Seattle Storm | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
173 located field-goal attempts in 3 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Breanna WilliamsSumayah SugapongJasleen GreenAliyahna MorrisMolly Ladwig
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 30-54 | 55.6 | 60 | Breanna Williams 30% (18 pts) | Makayla Presser-Palmer 23% (14 pts) | Sumayah Sugapong 21% (5 misses) | Jasleen Green 17% (4 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 23-46 | 50.0 | 46 | Breanna Williams 22% (10 pts) | Arynn Finley 17% (8 pts) | Aliyahna Morris 22% (5 misses) | Breanna Williams 17% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-12 | 16.7 | 4 | Jasleen Green 100% (4 pts) | - | Sumayah Sugapong 30% (3 misses) | Breanna Williams 20% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-9 | 11.1 | 2 | Aliyahna Morris 100% (2 pts) | - | Aliyahna Morris 38% (3 misses) | Molly Ladwig 25% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 1-10 | 10.0 | 2 | Sumayah Sugapong 100% (2 pts) | - | Sumayah Sugapong 33% (3 misses) | Jasleen Green 22% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 1-2 | 50.0 | 3 | Sumayah Sugapong 100% (3 pts) | - | Sumayah Sugapong 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Right corner 3 | 0-0 | - | 0 | - | - | - | - |
| Above-break 3 left | 6-19 | 31.6 | 18 | Jasleen Green 33% (6 pts) | Sumayah Sugapong 33% (6 pts) | Sumayah Sugapong 54% (7 misses) | Molly Ladwig 15% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 4-8 | 50.0 | 12 | Aliyahna Morris 75% (9 pts) | Arynn Finley 25% (3 pts) | Sumayah Sugapong 50% (2 misses) | Aliyahna Morris 25% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 2-13 | 15.4 | 6 | Molly Ladwig 50% (3 pts) | Sumayah Sugapong 50% (3 pts) | Aliyahna Morris 27% (3 misses) | Breanna Williams 18% (2 misses) |