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Arizona State

Also known as: Arizona State Sun Devils, Arizona State
Program History

2021 Team Stats (23 games)

74.9
PPG
77.3
Opp
-2.5
Margin
43.7%
FG%
33.4%
3P%
72.2%
FT%
32.0
RPG
13.4
APG
11.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
77.8
Adj PPG
72.4
Adj Opp PPG
#100
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2020-2021
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1051 (#139) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1047 (#139) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +66 elo More โ†’ 999 (#166) HCA +66 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.9 More โ†’ +7.4 (#89) HCA +1.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.0 More โ†’ +11.8 (#40) HCA +2.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.397 (#222) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.3 More โ†’ 0.746 (#91) AdjNet +9.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.5 More โ†’ 0.749 (#92) AdjNet +9.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 72.4 More โ†’ 0.620 (#100) AdjO 77.8 | AdjD 72.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 72.1 More โ†’ 0.551 (#117) AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 72.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.637 (#103) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.623 (#103) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 136 | GP 25 More โ†’ 1023 (#144) RD 136 | GP 25

2021 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2020-11-25 @ Rhode Island Rams W 94 - 88
2020-11-26 vs Villanova Wildcats L 74 - 83
2020-11-29 vs Houston Christian Huskies W 100 - 77
2020-12-03 @ California Golden Bears W 70 - 62
2020-12-10 vs San Diego State Aztecs L 68 - 80
2020-12-13 @ Grand Canyon Lopes W 71 - 70
2020-12-16 vs UTEP Miners L 63 - 76
2020-12-18 vs Incarnate Word Cardinals - Preview
2020-12-22 vs Utah Utes - Preview
2020-12-31 @ Washington State Cougars - Preview
2021-01-02 @ Washington Huskies - Preview
2021-01-07 vs UCLA Bruins L 75 - 81
2021-01-09 vs USC Trojans L 64 - 73
2021-01-14 @ Oregon Ducks - Preview
2021-01-16 @ Oregon State Beavers L 79 - 80
2021-01-21 vs Arizona Wildcats L 82 - 84
2021-01-25 @ Arizona Wildcats L 67 - 80
2021-01-28 vs California Golden Bears W 72 - 68
2021-01-30 vs Stanford Cardinal W 79 - 75
2021-02-02 vs Utah Utes - Preview
2021-02-04 @ Colorado Buffaloes - Postponed
2021-02-07 @ Utah Utes - Postponed
2021-02-11 vs Oregon Ducks L 64 - 75
2021-02-14 vs Oregon State Beavers W 75 - 73
2021-02-17 @ USC Trojans L 71 - 89
2021-02-20 @ UCLA Bruins L 79 - 80
2021-02-23 vs Washington Huskies W 97 - 64
2021-02-25 vs Washington Huskies W 80 - 72
2021-02-27 vs Washington State Cougars W 77 - 74
2021-03-01 vs Washington State Cougars - Preview
2021-03-04 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 61 - 75
2021-03-06 @ Utah Utes L 59 - 98
2021-03-10 vs Washington State Cougars W 64 - 59
2021-03-11 @ Oregon Ducks L 73 - 91

2021 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Remy Martin Remy Martin G 23 33.5 19.1 2.8 3.7 1.2 0.0 2.4 13.4 11.0 20 23 0.9 1.1 44.2 35.4 78.0 3.13 60.5 51.6
Josh Christopher Josh Christopher - 15 29.7 14.3 4.7 1.4 1.5 0.5 1.7 11.7 8.9 -44 15 -2.9 -4.1 43.2 30.5 80.0 -0.52 53.4 48.3
Alonzo Verge Alonzo Verge G 23 29.8 14.0 3.9 3.8 1.2 0.2 2.4 11.8 8.8 -65 23 -2.8 -3.9 39.3 33.3 81.5 0.96 52.2 44.1
Marcus Bagley Marcus Bagley - 12 29.2 10.8 6.2 1.2 0.8 0.4 1.3 8.8 9.2 7 12 0.6 0.8 38.7 34.7 71.9 3.89 54.1 50.5
Kimani Lawrence Kimani Lawrence F 23 24.0 8.1 5.0 0.9 0.8 0.3 1.1 6.0 7.9 -19 23 -0.8 -1.4 52.5 16.7 63.0 1.22 57.1 52.9
Jalen Graham Jalen Graham F 21 24.4 8.1 5.0 0.4 0.4 1.6 1.3 5.8 8.6 -10 21 -0.5 -0.8 53.7 0 57.8 0.31 60.4 53.7
Holland Woods Holland Woods G 25 26.2 6.7 2.2 1.9 1.0 0.0 0.7 5.4 5.6 -70 25 -2.8 -4.4 37.5 31.0 85.7 -0.79 55.5 47.1
Jaelen House Jaelen House - 21 18.7 5.3 2.0 1.5 1.6 0.0 1.2 4.7 4.5 -33 21 -1.6 -3.5 38.4 39.7 70.0 -0.79 54.2 50.0
Taeshon Cherry Taeshon Cherry F 7 16.0 3.9 2.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.0 4.0 3.3 24 7 3.4 8.8 35.7 31.8 0 1.55 48.2 48.2
Chris Osten Chris Osten F 24 16.0 2.7 2.3 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.4 2.0 3.8 -43 24 -1.8 -4.7 59.6 0 39.1 -1.32 56.9 59.6
Caleb Christopher Caleb Christopher G 9 4.0 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.7 0.1 -15 9 -1.7 -16.3 20.0 14.3 50.0 -2.8 28.3 23.3
Kyle Feit Kyle Feit G 4 3.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 -0.5 - - - - 20.0 25.0 0 -3.6 30.0 30.0
Imran Takhar Imran Takhar F 5 1.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 -7 5 -1.4 -44.7 50.0 50.0 0 -1.63 75.0 75.0
John Olmsted John Olmsted F 12 7.5 0.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.7 -7 12 -0.6 -3.2 50.0 0 0 -0.17 75.0 50.0
Pavlo Dziuba Pavlo Dziuba F 8 4.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 -37 8 -4.6 -45.5 100.0 0 50.0 -5.47 79.8 100.0
Micah Burno Micah Burno G 5 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 -0.4 -15 6 -2.5 -48.7 0.0 0 0 -3.08 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG