🐻⬇️🏀

Utah Utes 12-13
@
2021-02-02
Arizona State Sun Devils 11-14

Model Predictions

Model Utah Utes Arizona Stat... Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 49.3% (#93) 50.7% (#139) Utah Utes -0.9 71-70
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 46.5% (#117) 53.5% (#139) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 61.9% (#47) 38.1% (#89) Utah Utes -2.7 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 56.9% (#113) 43.1% (#222) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 67.5% (#52) 32.5% (#91) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 67.7% (#52) 32.3% (#92) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 53.1% (#51) 46.9% (#100) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Utah Utes Arizona Stat...
Games 25 23
PPG 72.1 74.9
FG% 46.9% 43.7%
3PT% 35.5% 33.4%
FT% 79.2% 72.2%
RPG 31.3 32.0
APG 15.1 13.4
SPG 5.4 7.3
BPG 3.4 3.4
TOPG 12.6 11.1

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Utah Utes Arizona Stat...
Adj. Off Eff 107.6 104.7
Adj. Def Eff 92.4 95.3
Adj. Net Eff 15.1 9.3

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Utah Utes Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Timmy Allen 17.2 6.4 3.9 1.3 0.2 35.1
Alfonso Plummer 13.6 2.2 1.0 0.7 0.0 28.2
Mikael Jantunen 8.9 4.5 1.5 0.7 0.1 28.1
Pelle Larsson 8.2 3.2 2.8 0.7 0.5 26.6
Rylan Jones 4.4 1.8 4.0 1.2 0.1 24.6

Arizona State Sun Devils Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Remy Martin 19.1 2.8 3.7 1.2 0.0 33.5
Alonzo Verge Jr. 14.0 3.9 3.8 1.2 0.2 29.8
Josh Christopher 14.3 4.7 1.4 1.5 0.5 29.7
Marcus Bagley 10.8 6.2 1.2 0.8 0.4 29.2
Holland Woods 6.7 2.2 1.9 1.0 0.0 26.2