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Washington State Cougars 14-13
@
2021-03-01
Arizona State Sun Devils 11-14

Model Predictions

Model Washington S... Arizona Stat... Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 44.2% (#104) 55.8% (#139) Arizona... -0.6 70-71
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 47.3% (#107) 52.7% (#139) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 45.8% (#79) 54.2% (#89) Arizona... -0.9 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 55.1% (#138) 44.9% (#222) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 52.5% (#79) 47.5% (#91) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 52.4% (#79) 47.6% (#92) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 46.1% (#87) 53.9% (#100) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Washington S... Arizona Stat...
Games 25 24
PPG 69.4 74.9
FG% 41.0% 43.7%
3PT% 33.8% 33.2%
FT% 70.7% 72.3%
RPG 38.7 32.0
APG 12.5 13.3
SPG 6.2 7.3
BPG 3.5 3.3
TOPG 15.2 11.0

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Washington S... Arizona Stat...
Adj. Off Eff 105.4 104.7
Adj. Def Eff 94.6 95.3
Adj. Net Eff 10.8 9.3

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Washington State Cougars Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Isaac Bonton 17.6 4.1 4.1 2.0 0.2 35.2
Noah Williams 14.0 3.7 2.7 1.5 0.2 29.7
Andrej Jakimovski 5.5 4.1 1.8 0.3 0.2 25.2
Efe Abogidi 9.4 7.4 0.4 0.8 1.4 24.6
DJ Rodman 6.1 3.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 23.4

Arizona State Sun Devils Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Remy Martin 19.1 2.8 3.7 1.2 0.0 33.5
Alonzo Verge Jr. 14.0 3.9 3.8 1.2 0.2 29.8
Josh Christopher 14.3 4.7 1.4 1.5 0.5 29.7
Marcus Bagley 10.8 6.2 1.2 0.8 0.4 29.2
Holland Woods 6.7 2.2 1.9 1.0 0.0 26.2