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Incarnate Word Cardinals 8-14
@
2020-12-18
Arizona State Sun Devils 11-14

Model Predictions

Model Incarnate Wo... Arizona Stat... Spread Projected
Elo
2020-21 season-end ratings
 4.3% (#333) 95.7% (#139) Arizona... -20.6 60-81
Bradley-Terry
2020-21 season-end ratings
 11.6% (#331) 88.4% (#139) - -
Margin
2020-21 season-end ratings
 1.4% (#326) 98.6% (#89) Arizona... -23.4 -
Pythagorean
2020-21 season-end ratings
 32.7% (#303) 67.3% (#222) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2020-21 season-end ratings
 1.0% (#325) 99.0% (#91) - -
Log Adjusted
2020-21 season-end ratings
 1.0% (#325) 99.0% (#92) - -
Points Off/Def
2020-21 season-end ratings
 12.7% (#327) 87.3% (#100) - -

2020-21 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 3.0-point home edge (2019-20 margin fit); projected score: 2019-20's average total of 141 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Incarnate Wo... Arizona Stat...
Games 9 23
PPG 68.9 74.9
FG% 44.1% 43.7%
3PT% 35.3% 33.4%
FT% 66.7% 72.2%
RPG 31.6 32.0
APG 13.4 13.4
SPG 5.6 7.3
BPG 1.7 3.4
TOPG 13.2 11.1

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Incarnate Wo... Arizona Stat...
Adj. Off Eff 90.7 104.7
Adj. Def Eff 109.3 95.3
Adj. Net Eff -18.7 9.3

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Incarnate Word Cardinals Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Keaston Willis 17.6 4.4 2.1 1.1 0.0 31.7
Des Balentine 7.3 3.7 3.8 0.9 0.3 31.4
Brandon Swaby 7.9 3.3 1.4 0.9 0.1 29.3
Drew Lutz 7.5 1.9 3.3 0.9 0.0 25.5
Player #4593760 9.5 7.9 1.1 0.6 1.0 25.1

Arizona State Sun Devils Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Remy Martin 19.1 2.8 3.7 1.2 0.0 33.5
Alonzo Verge Jr. 14.0 3.9 3.8 1.2 0.2 29.8
Josh Christopher 14.3 4.7 1.4 1.5 0.5 29.7
Marcus Bagley 10.8 6.2 1.2 0.8 0.4 29.2
Holland Woods 6.7 2.2 1.9 1.0 0.0 26.2