Incarnate Word
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 706 (#338) | Preseason prior 767 (returning production + recruiting): last season 875, returning -32, transfers -43, freshmen -34 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 843 (#336) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 846 (#337) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -19.0 (#357) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -19.0 (#357) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.115 (#329) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.162 (#360) | AdjNet -22.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.163 (#360) | AdjNet -22.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.251 (#352) | AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 74.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.252 (#352) | AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 74.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.189 (#357) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.189 (#357) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 790 (#351) | RD 167 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.246 (#327) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Oklahoma State Cowboys | L | 60 - 91 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | Chicago State Cougars | L | 54 - 66 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ | UTEP Miners | L | 60 - 79 |
| 2026-11-11 | @ | UC Davis Aggies | L | 69 - 81 |
| 2026-11-18 | @ | Texas State Bobcats | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | vs | Central Baptist Mustangs | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Godswill Erheriene
|
C | 4 | 29.2 | 12.8 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 9.5 | 11.5 | -10 | 2 | -5.0 | -7.3 | 60.5 | 0 | 38.5 | -0.84 | 58.3 | 60.5 |
Ismail Habib
|
G | 4 | 29.8 | 9.8 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.2 | 4.0 | -16 | 2 | -8.0 | -10.2 | 27.0 | 18.2 | 78.9 | -1.17 | 43.0 | 32.4 |
Darrae Goodwin
|
F | 4 | 29.5 | 9.0 | 6.5 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 10.8 | 4.8 | -32 | 2 | -16.0 | -17.9 | 32.6 | 27.8 | 42.9 | -1.55 | 39.1 | 38.4 |
Mekhi Conner
|
G | 3 | 31.3 | 8.7 | 2.3 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 4.7 | 8.3 | 6.0 | -8 | 1 | -8.0 | -11.4 | 20.0 | 23.5 | 75.0 | -0.73 | 40.6 | 28.0 |
Brandon McCreesh
|
G | 4 | 29.2 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 3.8 | -13 | 2 | -6.5 | -9.4 | 37.5 | 31.2 | 77.8 | -0.81 | 53.6 | 47.9 |
Maximo Garcia-Plata
|
G | 4 | 18.2 | 6.0 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 5.5 | 3.0 | -5 | 2 | -2.5 | -5.1 | 36.4 | 38.9 | 50.0 | -0.05 | 52.4 | 52.3 |
Jayden Thomas
|
G | 4 | 10.2 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 0.8 | -36 | 2 | -18.0 | -37.7 | 31.2 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -1.42 | 36.6 | 31.2 |
Christophe Pare
|
C | 4 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 4.2 | -21 | 2 | -10.5 | -33.8 | 50.0 | 0 | 66.7 | -1.03 | 53.0 | 50.0 |
Krisnan-Cole Ioane
|
F | 4 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | -1 | 2 | -0.5 | -2.1 | 100.0 | 0 | 57.1 | -0.03 | 78.7 | 100.0 |
David Emetu
|
F | 3 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | -7 | 1 | -7.0 | -106.3 | 0 | 0 | 66.7 | -0.63 | 75.8 | 0 |
DJ Cason
|
G | 4 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.5 | -6 | 2 | -3.0 | -74.2 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.57 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
Drew Barbee
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Tristan Collins
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Marc Harvey
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Kaleb Spencer
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Incarnate Word players in G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Incarnate Word game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Murray Jr. | 2018-20 | G League | Long Island Nets | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-13 0 pts, 2 reb, 4 ast Play-In | 4 GP, 5.2 PPG, 1.8 RPG, 2.5 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Dwight Murray Jr. | G League Play-In | Long Island Nets | vs College Park Skyhawks | 20 | 0 | 2 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Dwight Murray Jr. | G League Play-In | Long Island Nets | @ College Park Skyhawks | 18 | 9 | 1 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-07 | Dwight Murray Jr. | G League Play-In | Long Island Nets | @ Greensboro Swarm | 17 | 12 | 1 | 1 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
221 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Godswill ErherieneDarrae GoodwinIsmail HabibBrandon McCreeshMaximo Garcia-PlataMekhi ConnerChristophe Pare
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 26-47 | 55.3 | 52 | Godswill Erheriene 65% (34 pts) | Darrae Goodwin 8% (4 pts) | Darrae Goodwin 24% (5 misses) | Godswill Erheriene 24% (5 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 20-55 | 36.4 | 40 | Godswill Erheriene 30% (12 pts) | Jayden Thomas 20% (8 pts) | Godswill Erheriene 29% (10 misses) | Darrae Goodwin 17% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 4-12 | 33.3 | 8 | Darrae Goodwin 75% (6 pts) | Ismail Habib 25% (2 pts) | Darrae Goodwin 62% (5 misses) | DJ Cason 25% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 3-4 | 75.0 | 6 | Darrae Goodwin 67% (4 pts) | Ismail Habib 33% (2 pts) | Ismail Habib 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range right | 4-8 | 50.0 | 8 | Christophe Pare 25% (2 pts) | Ismail Habib 25% (2 pts) | Mekhi Conner 75% (3 misses) | Ismail Habib 25% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 6-18 | 33.3 | 18 | Brandon McCreesh 33% (6 pts) | Darrae Goodwin 33% (6 pts) | Ismail Habib 42% (5 misses) | Mekhi Conner 33% (4 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 3-8 | 37.5 | 9 | Ismail Habib 67% (6 pts) | Maximo Garcia-Plata 33% (3 pts) | Ismail Habib 60% (3 misses) | Darrae Goodwin 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 4-27 | 14.8 | 12 | Brandon McCreesh 50% (6 pts) | Maximo Garcia-Plata 25% (3 pts) | Maximo Garcia-Plata 35% (8 misses) | Mekhi Conner 22% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 2-11 | 18.2 | 6 | Brandon McCreesh 50% (3 pts) | Maximo Garcia-Plata 50% (3 pts) | Darrae Goodwin 33% (3 misses) | Brandon McCreesh 22% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 10-31 | 32.3 | 30 | Darrae Goodwin 30% (9 pts) | Maximo Garcia-Plata 30% (9 pts) | Darrae Goodwin 29% (6 misses) | Ismail Habib 24% (5 misses) |