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Arizona State

Also known as: Arizona State Sun Devils, Arizona State
Program History

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1513 (#70) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1522 (#39) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → +27.9 (#104) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.356 (#79) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.3 More → 0.351 (#79) AdjNet -5.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.3 More → 0.353 (#79) AdjNet -5.3

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs Montana State Bobcats W 78 - 72
2011-11-15 vs Pepperdine Waves L 60 - 66
2011-11-18 vs New Mexico Lobos L 71 - 76
2011-11-24 @ Fairfield Stags L 44 - 55
2011-11-25 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 84 - 56
2011-11-27 vs DePaul Blue Demons L 64 - 68
2011-12-03 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane W 67 - 64
2011-12-07 vs Nevada Wolf Pack L 61 - 69
2011-12-10 vs North Dakota State Bison W 60 - 57
2011-12-17 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks L 68 - 69
2011-12-19 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles L 61 - 64
2011-12-21 vs Fresno State Bulldogs L 65 - 68
2011-12-31 @ Arizona Wildcats L 51 - 68
2012-01-05 @ USC Trojans W 62 - 53
2012-01-07 @ UCLA Bruins L 58 - 75
2012-01-14 vs Oregon State Beavers W 76 - 66
2012-01-19 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 54 - 69
2012-01-26 vs Washington Huskies L 54 - 60
2012-01-28 vs Washington State Cougars W 71 - 67
2012-02-04 @ California Golden Bears L 47 - 68
2012-02-09 vs Utah Utes W 57 - 52
2012-02-16 @ Washington Huskies L 69 - 77
2012-02-18 @ Washington State Cougars L 50 - 72
2012-02-23 vs UCLA Bruins L 57 - 66
2012-02-25 vs USC Trojans W 56 - 52
2012-03-04 vs Arizona Wildcats W 87 - 80
2012-03-07 @ Stanford Cardinal L 65 - 85

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
K. King K. King G 13 32.6 13.7 4.9 3.3 1.5 0.1 3.9 1.9 17.6 - - - 44.0 16.7 85.7 0.84 285.6 46.0
T. Lockett T. Lockett G 23 34.8 12.7 6.0 2.0 1.5 0.6 3.0 3.3 16.5 - - - 48.0 43.8 76.0 - 151.0 52.7
C. Felix C. Felix G-F 25 33.0 11.1 4.3 1.5 1.2 0.8 2.1 3.0 13.7 - - - 42.7 31.0 80.6 - 156.2 48.7
C. Colvin C. Colvin G 23 26.9 7.6 2.5 4.2 1.2 0.0 3.5 1.8 10.2 - - - 35.7 36.4 67.7 - 157.3 40.5
K. Cain K. Cain F 25 23.5 7.4 5.7 0.9 0.5 0.1 1.8 2.4 10.3 - - - 43.3 0.0 91.7 - 141.7 43.3
J. Gilling J. Gilling F 26 23.4 7.4 1.8 1.8 0.3 0.1 1.3 2.1 8.0 - - - 51.9 52.4 75.0 - 166.9 72.2
J. Bachynski J. Bachynski C 26 17.4 5.7 4.0 0.2 0.2 1.3 1.1 1.7 8.5 - - - 57.8 0 50.0 - 120.8 57.8
C. Creekmur C. Creekmur G-F 26 23.3 4.9 2.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.8 1.5 6.2 - - - 55.0 53.1 50.0 - 153.3 76.2
R. Pateev R. Pateev C 25 16.0 4.6 2.9 0.7 0.2 1.1 1.8 1.0 6.8 - - - 79.2 0 66.7 - 215.8 79.2
P. Newton P. Newton G 4 2.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Whitmore D. Whitmore - 6 2.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
M. Heller M. Heller G 13 4.5 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.3 0.6 - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG