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2012-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Arizona State Sun Devils UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 13.8% 86.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 20.4% 79.6% - โœ“
Margin 7.7% 92.3% +13.7 โœ“ (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 28.3% 71.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 3.7% 96.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 3.5% 96.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.4% 76.6% - โœ“

Actual: UCLA Bruins +17 (75-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chanse Creekmur * 39 4-7 4-7 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 12 7 -
Jonathan Gilling * 34 6-9 5-6 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 17 11 -
Trent Lockett * 34 4-10 0-2 4-8 3 4 1 0 4 12 6 -
Carrick Felix * 33 0-6 0-3 1-2 4 0 1 1 3 1 -2 -
Ruslan Pateev * 19 4-4 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 10 7 -
Jordan Bachynski 24 2-4 0-0 2-5 2 0 0 1 1 6 4 -
Max Heller 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 0 4 -
Pierre Newton 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
David Whitmore 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lazeric Jones * 38 3-10 1-5 1-2 3 10 2 0 1 8 12 -
Jerime Anderson * 33 3-4 1-1 0-0 0 4 4 0 0 7 11 -
David Wear * 29 4-6 0-0 0-2 9 1 1 1 1 8 13 -
Travis Wear * 26 5-7 0-0 6-6 7 0 0 1 2 16 15 -
Tyler Lamb * 21 4-7 1-3 0-2 4 2 0 1 3 9 6 -
Joshua Smith 21 8-12 0-0 2-5 4 1 1 0 1 18 11 -
Norman Powell 21 4-9 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 9 1 -
Anthony Stover 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brendan Lane 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
David Brown 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kenny Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Tyler Trapani 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter