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Arizona State

Also known as: Arizona State Sun Devils, Arizona State
Program History

2006 Team Stats (5 games)

59.2
PPG
74.8
Opp
-15.6
Margin
42.0%
FG%
32.4%
3P%
66.2%
FT%
31.4
RPG
13.2
APG
14.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.4
Adj PPG
66.8
Adj Opp PPG
#139
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 919 (#219) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 947 (#198) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +97 elo More โ†’ 928 (#270) HCA +97 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ +2.3 (#135) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ +1.6 (#145) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.382 (#223) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.0 More โ†’ 0.665 (#119) AdjNet +6.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.1 More โ†’ 0.670 (#119) AdjNet +6.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 66.8 More โ†’ 0.535 (#139) AdjO 68.4 | AdjD 66.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 68.6 More โ†’ 0.452 (#209) AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 68.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.507 (#154) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.490 (#167) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 138 | GP 28 More โ†’ 963 (#190) RD 138 | GP 28

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2005-11-23 vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 82 - 62
2005-11-26 vs Alcorn State Braves W 86 - 74
2005-11-28 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 73 - 57
2005-11-30 vs North Texas Mean Green W 83 - 67
2005-12-05 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers L 79 - 85
2005-12-10 vs Utah Valley Wolverines L 71 - 75
2005-12-17 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 43 - 62
2005-12-21 vs Boise State Broncos W 64 - 49
2005-12-22 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 72 - 55
2005-12-29 @ Washington Huskies L 67 - 91
2005-12-31 @ Washington State Cougars L 49 - 64
2006-01-05 vs USC Trojans L 65 - 66
2006-01-07 vs UCLA Bruins L 60 - 61
2006-01-12 @ Oregon Ducks L 53 - 67
2006-01-14 @ Oregon State Beavers W 65 - 63
2006-01-19 vs California Golden Bears L 58 - 88
2006-01-21 vs Stanford Cardinal L 64 - 70
2006-01-25 vs Arizona Wildcats L 70 - 80
2006-02-02 @ UCLA Bruins L 60 - 69
2006-02-04 @ USC Trojans W 68 - 65
2006-02-09 vs Oregon State Beavers W 76 - 59
2006-02-11 vs Oregon Ducks L 87 - 98
2006-02-16 @ Stanford Cardinal L 69 - 82
2006-02-18 @ California Golden Bears W 65 - 64
2006-02-25 @ Arizona Wildcats L 47 - 68
2006-03-02 vs Washington Huskies L 66 - 91
2006-03-04 vs Washington State Cougars W 68 - 55
2006-03-08 vs Oregon State Beavers L 68 - 71

2006 Roster

No roster data available for this season.