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2006-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Arizona State Sun Devils Spread Result
Elo 34.2% 65.8% -
Bradley-Terry 51.0% 49.0% -
Margin 44.7% 55.3% +1.2 (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 58.2% 41.8% -
Efficiency 79.9% 20.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.1% 19.9% -
Log Adjusted 80.2% 19.8% -

Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils -11 (87-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hairston 35 6-7 3-3 7-7 5 5 0 0 0 22 25 -
A. Brooks 32 3-5 1-3 11-12 5 2 1 0 4 18 17 -
C. Oguchi 28 7-9 6-8 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 20 13 -
J. Kent 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 0 3 -
M. Leunen 22 6-13 1-6 4-4 6 2 1 0 1 17 12 -
B. Lincoln 18 2-3 0-1 2-2 1 2 1 0 2 6 5 -
I. Johnson 17 3-5 0-0 4-4 3 1 1 1 1 10 10 -
A. Zahn 17 2-6 0-0 1-4 4 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
R. Schafer 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Kruger 39 4-7 4-7 2-2 3 3 1 0 1 14 13 -
J. Ayres 32 10-18 0-0 1-3 4 0 3 0 3 21 7 -
S. Seay 30 8-13 3-6 2-3 5 3 3 1 4 21 16 -
A. Atuahene 28 4-5 1-2 3-6 2 10 1 0 1 12 19 -
B. Krueger 27 3-8 1-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 7 2 -
S. Angounou 17 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 3 1 0 0 6 9 -
T. Jackson 10 2-3 0-1 0-1 0 1 1 0 0 4 3 -
C. Austin 8 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
B. Claudino 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -
C. Goldstein 3 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 -
R. Alridge 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter