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2006-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers Arizona State Sun Devils Spread Result
Elo 18.0% 82.0% -
Bradley-Terry 35.6% 64.4% -
Margin 29.2% 70.8% +4.9 (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 32.1% 67.9% -
Efficiency 46.0% 54.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.8% 66.2% -
Log Adjusted 33.6% 66.4% -

Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils -3 (68-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Jeffers * 39 8-12 0-0 4-5 9 0 2 1 3 20 17 -
C. Stephens * 31 7-16 0-3 0-1 3 2 0 0 2 14 1 -
M. Jones * 29 4-8 0-2 1-3 7 0 1 0 2 9 7 -
W. Washington * 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 0 -1 -
S. Cuic * 4 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
J. McGillis 28 3-7 0-3 2-2 6 1 3 1 0 8 12 -
J. Fontenet 24 3-6 3-4 2-2 1 2 1 0 1 11 8 -
M. Johnson 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
A. Tsagarakis 12 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 -1 -
B. Casey 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Kruger * 40 8-14 5-7 1-2 4 1 2 0 2 22 13 -
B. Krueger * 37 4-12 2-7 6-6 2 5 2 0 0 16 13 -
S. Angounou * 34 3-7 0-0 3-4 7 1 1 3 4 9 10 -
J. Ayres * 30 3-11 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 1 2 7 -1 -
A. Atuahene * 15 2-4 0-1 1-2 4 2 0 0 4 5 3 -
T. Jackson 28 2-7 2-3 1-2 3 5 2 0 1 7 9 -
C. Austin 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 2 2 -
S. Seay 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -3 -

* = starter