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Arizona State

Also known as: Arizona State Sun Devils, Arizona State
Program History

2013 Team Stats (2 games)

56.0
PPG
72.0
Opp
-16.0
Margin
42.7%
FG%
31.4%
3P%
73.5%
FT%
25.0
RPG
10.5
APG
17.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
70.4
Adj PPG
63.1
Adj Opp PPG
#73
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1097 (#110) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1135 (#80) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1012 (#155) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +7.9 (#69) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +10.1 (#47) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.669 (#87) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.0 More โ†’ 0.817 (#68) AdjNet +13.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +13.1 More โ†’ 0.819 (#67) AdjNet +13.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 63.1 More โ†’ 0.660 (#73) AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 63.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 65.1 More โ†’ 0.619 (#70) AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 65.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.680 (#80) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.672 (#77) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 108 | GP 35 More โ†’ 1123 (#83) RD 108 | GP 35

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-10 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 79 - 64
2012-11-18 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 97 - 70
2012-11-20 vs Cornell Big Red W 64 - 53
2012-11-23 @ Arkansas Razorbacks W 83 - 68
2012-11-24 vs Creighton Bluejays L 73 - 87
2012-11-28 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 67 - 54
2012-12-01 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 90 - 70
2012-12-05 vs Hartford Hawks W 71 - 63
2012-12-08 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 87 - 76
2012-12-12 vs DePaul Blue Demons L 61 - 78
2012-12-15 vs Dartmouth Big Green W 61 - 42
2012-12-22 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders W 77 - 62
2012-12-29 vs Coppin State Eagles W 68 - 52
2013-01-02 vs Utah Utes W 55 - 54
2013-01-06 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 65 - 56
2013-01-10 @ Oregon State Beavers W 72 - 62
2013-01-13 @ Oregon Ducks L 65 - 68
2013-01-19 vs Arizona Wildcats L 54 - 71
2013-01-24 vs USC Trojans W 98 - 93
2013-01-26 vs UCLA Bruins W 78 - 60
2013-01-31 @ Washington State Cougars W 63 - 59
2013-02-02 @ Washington Huskies L 92 - 96
2013-02-07 vs California Golden Bears W 66 - 62
2013-02-09 vs Stanford Cardinal L 59 - 62
2013-02-13 @ Utah Utes L 55 - 60
2013-02-16 @ Colorado Buffaloes W 63 - 62
2013-02-20 vs Washington State Cougars W 69 - 57
2013-02-23 vs Washington Huskies L 59 - 68
2013-02-27 @ UCLA Bruins L 74 - 79
2013-03-02 @ USC Trojans L 56 - 57
2013-03-09 @ Arizona Wildcats L 58 - 73
2013-03-13 @ Stanford Cardinal W 89 - 88
2013-03-14 @ UCLA Bruins L 75 - 80
2013-03-20 vs Detroit Mercy Titans W 83 - 68
2013-03-22 @ Baylor Bears L 86 - 89

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jahii Carson Jahii Carson G 35 37.2 18.5 3.7 5.1 1.2 0.1 3.5 2.9 22.0 92 30 3.1 3.6 48.5 32.0 81.2 0.31 281.1 52.5
Carrick Felix Carrick Felix G-F 35 35.3 14.6 8.1 1.6 1.4 1.1 2.0 2.3 22.6 80 30 2.7 3.3 43.2 36.7 67.9 0.11 273.8 50.0
Evan Gordon Evan Gordon G 35 32.2 10.1 2.9 2.2 1.3 0.2 1.3 1.2 14.3 130 30 4.3 5.9 34.1 31.8 71.4 3.28 375.3 42.7
Jordan Bachynski Jordan Bachynski C 35 25.4 9.8 5.9 0.1 0.2 3.4 1.8 1.3 16.3 68 30 2.3 3.8 57.4 0 58.8 -2.01 313.9 57.4
Jonathan Gilling Jonathan Gilling F 35 34.5 9.7 6.1 2.8 1.0 0.4 1.7 1.5 16.9 161 30 5.4 6.7 35.8 37.5 77.8 5.09 299.3 50.0
Chris Colvin Chris Colvin G 32 21.6 5.1 3.2 2.0 0.9 0.1 1.5 1.2 8.7 -14 27 -0.5 -1.1 35.9 33.3 36.4 -2.55 185.9 39.7
Ruslan Pateev Ruslan Pateev C 30 9.4 2.7 2.2 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.3 5.3 5 26 0.2 0.9 55.6 0 40.0 -1.46 361.6 55.6
Eric Jacobsen Eric Jacobsen F 31 7.5 1.8 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 2.9 -1 26 0.0 -0.2 0.0 0 0.0 -3.64 563.5 0.0
Bo Barnes Bo Barnes G 26 4.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.8 20 23 0.9 8.8 33.3 40.0 0 1.63 108.3 50.0
Kenny Martin Kenny Martin F 10 3.8 0.5 0.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.9 -4 9 -0.4 -6.0 0 0 0 -1.44 0 0
David Whitmore David Whitmore - 3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jarett Upchurch Jarett Upchurch G 3 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.03 0 0
Joey Hormes Joey Hormes - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG