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Alcorn State

Also known as: Alcorn State Braves
Program History

2011 Team Stats (4 games)

56.8
PPG
92.0
Opp
-35.2
Margin
30.0%
FG%
23.3%
3P%
61.2%
FT%
36.8
RPG
5.0
APG
20.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
62.5
Adj PPG
82.4
Adj Opp PPG
#342
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 454 (#345) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 651 (#338) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More โ†’ 870 (#325) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -21.2 (#342) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -20.4 (#343) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.066 (#341) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -30.4 More โ†’ 0.029 (#342) AdjNet -30.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -30.8 More โ†’ 0.028 (#342) AdjNet -30.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 82.4 More โ†’ 0.140 (#342) AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 82.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 78.0 More โ†’ 0.250 (#337) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 78.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.100 (#342) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.114 (#342) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 159 | GP 25 More โ†’ 588 (#343) RD 159 | GP 25

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 @ Texas A&M Aggies L 56 - 88
2010-11-14 @ Houston Cougars L 68 - 88
2010-11-17 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 48 - 103
2010-11-23 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 51 - 91
2010-11-24 @ Denver Pioneers L 51 - 69
2010-12-01 @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles L 71 - 100
2010-12-06 @ Kansas State Wildcats L 55 - 89
2010-12-08 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 57 - 78
2010-12-21 @ South Alabama Jaguars L 76 - 86
2010-12-30 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 62 - 100
2011-01-04 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers L 66 - 68
2011-01-06 vs Texas Southern Tigers L 66 - 79
2011-01-08 @ Jackson State Tigers L 64 - 90
2011-01-10 @ Grambling Tigers W 75 - 73
2011-01-15 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils L 70 - 87
2011-01-17 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions L 74 - 81
2011-01-22 @ Alabama A&M Bulldogs L 55 - 64
2011-01-24 @ Alabama State Hornets L 68 - 81
2011-01-29 vs Southern Jaguars W 70 - 63
2011-02-05 vs Jackson State Tigers W 81 - 75
2011-02-07 vs Grambling Tigers L 60 - 61
2011-02-12 @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils L 83 - 91
2011-02-14 @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions L 62 - 72
2011-02-19 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs L 68 - 70
2011-02-21 vs Alabama State Hornets L 53 - 62
2011-02-26 @ Southern Jaguars W 83 - 74
2011-03-03 @ Prairie View A&M Panthers L 77 - 96
2011-03-05 @ Texas Southern Tigers L 68 - 79

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Marquiz Baker Marquiz Baker G 18 25.6 13.6 2.7 1.3 1.4 0.0 2.3 9.8 6.9 -183 12 -15.2 -22.5 31.8 26.2 74.4 -2.27 57.5 36.6
Kendrick McDonald Kendrick McDonald G 18 25.8 11.1 2.8 1.7 0.8 0.0 3.0 7.0 6.4 -147 12 -12.2 -20.6 31.7 47.1 74.2 -1.71 65.2 38.1
Jamar Ragland Jamar Ragland F 17 20.2 8.8 3.0 0.8 0.6 0.1 1.7 5.1 6.5 -80 9 -8.9 -20.4 40.7 29.4 52.9 -3.25 74.3 43.6
Willis Brownlee Willis Brownlee F 18 21.3 7.5 3.1 1.3 0.9 0.2 1.6 4.3 7.2 -48 12 -4.0 -12.0 42.9 41.7 65.8 -0.21 72.0 46.1
Chris Davenport Chris Davenport F 6 13.7 5.7 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 1.5 4.2 2.7 -98 7 -14.0 -41.9 40.0 100.0 65.0 -2.84 50.3 42.0
Korey Sanders Korey Sanders F 18 21.1 5.1 6.2 0.3 0.4 0.9 0.7 4.0 8.2 -73 12 -6.1 -18.4 44.4 0.0 26.7 -1.43 58.5 44.4
Alex Savannah Alex Savannah G 16 15.6 4.6 1.2 1.6 1.1 0.1 1.6 2.4 4.4 -77 11 -7.0 -20.0 43.6 33.3 64.5 -2.56 69.3 47.4
Ian Francis Ian Francis F 18 17.1 3.8 3.8 0.4 0.3 0.4 1.4 3.1 4.3 -109 11 -9.9 -23.8 30.4 0.0 51.6 -2.33 48.8 30.4
Keith Searcy Keith Searcy G 17 14.1 3.6 1.9 1.1 1.2 0.0 1.2 4.0 2.6 -75 9 -8.3 -23.3 29.4 25.0 52.6 -3.35 39.9 30.1
Michael Starks Michael Starks F 15 16.5 2.9 3.3 0.5 0.3 1.1 0.6 2.7 4.9 -161 11 -14.6 -32.6 45.0 0 44.4 -5.04 45.9 45.0
Tony Eackles Tony Eackles G 17 10.6 2.8 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.3 2.2 1.9 -37 10 -3.7 -21.2 28.9 33.3 60.7 -3.31 46.7 30.3
Shaunvanta Ingram Shaunvanta Ingram G 11 12.1 2.2 2.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.2 2.2 1.9 -96 9 -10.7 -34.7 25.0 0.0 55.6 -6.05 42.9 25.0
Michael Martin Michael Martin F 12 10.7 2.1 2.7 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.5 1.5 4.5 -51 11 -4.6 -19.2 55.6 0 35.7 -0.63 51.7 55.6
Jeremy Richards Jeremy Richards G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -0.65 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG