๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2011-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Southern Jaguars Alcorn State Braves Spread Result
Elo 39.1% 60.9% +2.2 โœ“ (4.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 41.9% 58.1% - โœ“
Margin 32.2% 67.8% +4.1 โœ“ (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 34.8% 65.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 34.6% 65.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.2% 58.8% - โœ“

Actual: Alcorn State Braves +7 (70-63). Ratings: 2010-11 season-end ratings.

Southern Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Chase 32 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
Julius Ingram 31 8-15 1-4 4-6 9 1 0 0 3 21 13 -
Brandon White 26 1-4 1-2 1-2 3 2 1 0 1 4 5 -
Blake Sanford 22 5-12 3-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 13 3 -
Fredrick Coleman 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Patrick Coleman 20 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
Neal Webb 20 4-10 3-7 0-1 2 3 0 1 1 11 6 -
Quinton Doggett 17 4-11 0-1 3-4 11 0 0 2 2 11 11 -
Madut Bol 14 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 -2 -
Jameel Grace 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Starks 31 3-3 0-0 1-2 8 2 0 3 2 7 15 -
Marquiz Baker 26 8-17 1-3 4-5 2 1 0 0 0 21 7 -
Willis Brownlee 24 2-3 0-0 2-3 3 1 1 1 1 6 8 -
Kendrick McDonald 23 2-9 1-3 3-4 3 1 0 0 1 8 2 -
Korey Sanders 21 2-5 0-0 0-2 8 0 0 1 1 4 7 -
Ian Francis 18 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 4 1 -
Alex Savannah 17 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 4 7 -
Jamar Ragland 16 1-4 0-0 4-6 1 2 2 0 0 6 7 -
Keith Searcy 14 2-6 0-0 0-1 3 1 1 0 1 4 2 -
Chris Davenport 10 2-2 0-0 2-5 1 0 1 0 0 6 6 -
Michael Martin 0 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter