Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Alcorn State Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | -5.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.4% | 44.6% | -1.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alcorn State Braves -7 (74-81). Ratings: 2010-11 season-end ratings.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrell Kennedy | 35 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Allen Smith | 31 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Gavin Montgomery | 23 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Savalace Townsend | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Tyree Glass | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Daniel Broughton | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Lavoris Weathers | 20 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Rickey Parks | 19 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Clay Johnson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marcel Mosley | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Demetrius Smith | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korey Sanders | 32 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Marquiz Baker | 30 | 2-14 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Willis Brownlee | 29 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Kendrick McDonald | 27 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Jamar Ragland | 25 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Alex Savannah | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Tony Eackles | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Michael Martin | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Shaunvanta Ingram | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Keith Searcy | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ian Francis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter