๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2011-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Grambling Tigers Alcorn State Braves Spread Result
Elo 77.7% 22.3% -9.8 โœ“ (8.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 63.5% 36.5% - โœ“
Margin 61.2% 38.8% -2.5 โœ“ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 69.8% 30.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 67.0% 33.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 67.4% 32.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 55.4% 44.6% - โœ“

Actual: Alcorn State Braves -1 (60-61). Ratings: 2010-11 season-end ratings.

Grambling Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donald Qualls 34 6-9 1-3 1-2 1 4 0 0 3 14 7 -
Justin Patton 33 10-21 0-0 2-6 17 1 1 0 4 22 16 -
Lance Feurtado 29 3-11 3-8 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 9 4 -
Rupert Rose 28 1-6 0-1 0-0 8 2 0 0 2 2 4 -
Peter Roberson 23 4-8 0-0 0-0 8 3 1 2 0 8 14 -
Derron Hobbs 19 0-6 0-3 1-3 4 4 0 0 1 1 2 -
Steven Danridge 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
YonDarius Johnson 13 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 -1 -
Rydell Harris 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kendrick McDonald 30 5-9 3-3 0-0 5 4 0 0 3 13 10 -
Marquiz Baker 29 6-11 3-5 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 16 9 -
Michael Starks 29 0-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 0 0 1 -
Korey Sanders 24 3-8 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
Jamar Ragland 22 6-9 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 13 8 -
Willis Brownlee 18 3-5 0-1 0-1 1 1 1 0 2 6 2 -
Keith Searcy 16 1-7 0-0 0-0 2 2 6 0 1 2 4 -
Alex Savannah 16 0-3 0-2 3-4 1 1 0 1 0 3 3 -
Ian Francis 12 0-3 0-0 1-4 5 1 1 1 0 1 6 -
Tony Eackles 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter